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德业股份(605117):Q1业绩超出预告上限,强阿尔法奠定新兴市场超额收益
605117Deye(605117) 长江证券·2025-05-07 02:44

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6][7]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 11.206 billion yuan for 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 50%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.96 billion yuan, up 65% year-on-year [2][4]. - In Q4 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 3.19 billion yuan, a significant increase of 177% year-on-year, although it saw a slight decline of 2% quarter-on-quarter. The net profit for this quarter was 721 million yuan, marking a 224% year-on-year increase but a 28% decrease from the previous quarter [2][4]. - For Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 2.566 billion yuan, a 36% increase year-on-year, but a 20% decrease quarter-on-quarter. The net profit for this quarter was 706 million yuan, up 63% year-on-year, with a 2% decline quarter-on-quarter [2][4]. Financial Performance - The inverter business generated a revenue of 5.56 billion yuan in 2024, growing by 25% year-on-year, with significant increases in sales volumes across various inverter types [10]. - The energy storage battery pack revenue reached 2.45 billion yuan, a remarkable growth of 177% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 41.3%, up 7.4 percentage points [10]. - The company expects to achieve a profit of 4 billion yuan in 2025, corresponding to a price-to-earnings ratio of only 14 times [6][10]. Market Outlook - The company is expected to benefit from increasing demand in emerging markets such as Southeast Asia, Africa, and the Middle East, with a stable market share and profitability anticipated for the year [10]. - The report highlights the company's strong alpha in emerging markets, with significant advantages in products, channels, and costs [10].