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5月投资策略暨五一假期总结:旅游量增价稳半径延长,板块关注政策发力与AI+进展
Guoxin Securities·2025-05-07 05:30

Core Insights - The report highlights that tourism volume is increasing while prices remain stable, with a focus on policy support and advancements in AI applications within the sector [3][9] - The domestic travel market saw 314 million trips during the May Day holiday, a year-on-year increase of 6.4%, with total spending reaching 180.27 billion yuan, up 8.0% [9][21] - The report suggests that the tourism trend will continue to improve due to consumer experience demands and favorable industry policies, recommending investments in leading companies benefiting from these trends [3][42] Market Review - In April, the consumer services sector outperformed the benchmark by 1.42 percentage points, with strong performances from tourism and education stocks [4][6] - The May Day holiday saw significant gains in the education sector and travel-related stocks, with notable performances from companies involved in AI-enhanced education [4][6] Sub-industry Analysis - Inbound and Outbound Travel: Inbound travel saw a 28.7% increase in visitor numbers during the May Day holiday, with significant growth in travelers from Hong Kong, Macau, and Taiwan [16][21] - Hotel Industry: The hotel sector experienced a 11.5% increase in revenue per available room (RevPAR) during the holiday, with occupancy rates and average daily rates also rising [24][22] - Scenic Areas: Major scenic spots reported strong visitor numbers, with some locations seeing over 50% growth compared to the previous year, aided by favorable weather and local government initiatives [25][28] - Dining Sector: Key monitored dining enterprises reported an 8.7% increase in sales during the holiday, reflecting a recovery in consumer spending [29][30] - Duty-Free Sales: Duty-free shopping during the holiday saw a decline of 7% in sales, although the average transaction value remained stable [35][41] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on leading companies that are expected to benefit from policy support and improving consumer sentiment, including Tongcheng Travel, Xueda Education, Jiuhua Tourism, and others [3][42]