Workflow
唐人神:25年Q1饲料业务好转,养殖成本仍有下降空间-20250507
002567TRS(002567)2025-05-07 08:23

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for its stock performance relative to the benchmark index [6][10]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 24.34 billion yuan for 2024, a year-on-year decline of 9.67%, but achieved a net profit of 355 million yuan, marking a significant turnaround from previous losses. The feed business faced challenges, but the cost of pig farming showed a notable decrease, leading to improved performance [3][4]. - In Q1 2025, the company generated a revenue of 5.97 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 22.40%, although it still reported a net loss of 77.05 million yuan due to losses in the breeding business despite improved feed profitability [3][4]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - Latest closing price: 4.84 yuan - Total shares: 1.433 billion, with a market capitalization of 6.9 billion yuan - 52-week high/low: 7.24/4.52 yuan - Debt-to-asset ratio: 63.4% - Price-to-earnings ratio: 19.52 [2]. Feed Business Performance - In 2024, the feed business revenue decreased by 24.98% to 15.05 billion yuan, with sales volume and average price both declining. The company underwent a structural transformation to enhance competitiveness in key regions, resulting in a 12.26% increase in feed exports in Q1 2025 [4]. Pig Farming Business Performance - The pig farming segment achieved a revenue of 7.66 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 48.68%. The company adopted a "company + farmer" model, with pig output reaching 4.34 million heads in 2024, up 16.80% year-on-year. In Q1 2025, pig output was 1.26 million heads, a 33.31% increase [5]. - The company successfully reduced breeding costs, with the cost of fattening pigs decreasing by 1.59 yuan/kg and the cost of weaned piglets down by 46.34 yuan/head in 2024. However, in Q1 2025, pig prices fell again, leading to losses in the breeding business [5]. Financial Forecast and Valuation - The company is expected to see earnings per share (EPS) of 0.11 yuan, 0.12 yuan, and 0.71 yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively. The report expresses optimism about the company's future prospects, maintaining the "Buy" rating [6][7].