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中国核建(601611):经营性业绩稳健增长,核电业务持续景气

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5] Core Views - The company is experiencing steady growth in operational performance, with a robust expansion in the nuclear power sector. For 2024, it is projected to achieve revenue of 113.5 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.8%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 20.6 billion yuan, reflecting a slight increase of 0.1% year-on-year [1][3] - The nuclear power engineering segment continues to thrive, with new contracts signed amounting to 163.4 billion yuan in 2024, an 8.5% increase year-on-year, and a significant backlog of orders ensuring stable future earnings [1][3] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a comprehensive gross margin of 11.7%, up by 0.37 percentage points year-on-year, driven by an increase in the proportion of high-margin nuclear power business [2] - The net profit margin for the year was 1.82%, a decrease of 0.07 percentage points year-on-year, with operational cash flow showing a net outflow of 3.34 billion yuan, indicating ongoing cash flow pressure [2][4] Business Segments - The nuclear power engineering segment generated revenue of 32.2 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 35%, while the civil engineering segment saw a decline of 8% [1][3] - The company is positioned as a leader in the nuclear power sector, benefiting from the high demand for nuclear energy in China, with 11 new nuclear units approved in 2024 and 10 in 2025 [3] Future Projections - The company forecasts net profits of 23.2 billion yuan, 26.0 billion yuan, and 29.1 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding year-on-year growth rates of 13%, 12%, and 12% [3][4] - The projected revenue for 2025 is 117.7 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 3.7% [1][4]