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鱼跃医疗:2024A&2025Q1 业绩点评业绩增长稳健,国际化拓展加速-20250507
YUYUE MEDICALYUYUE MEDICAL(SZ:002223)2025-05-07 10:25

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform" with a target price of RMB 45.47, down 8% from previous estimates [1][8]. Core Views - The company experienced a revenue decline of 5.09% in 2024, totaling RMB 7.57 billion, and a net profit drop of 24.63% to RMB 1.81 billion. However, Q1 2025 showed a revenue increase of 9.17% to RMB 2.44 billion, indicating a potential recovery [1][8]. - The report highlights the impact of high base effects on revenue, particularly in respiratory solutions, while noting strong growth in glucose management and emergency solutions [9][10]. - Strategic investment in Inogen is expected to enhance overseas expansion and brand strength, with export revenue growing by 30.42% in 2024 [11]. Financial Summary - Revenue for 2024 is projected at RMB 7.57 billion, with a forecasted increase to RMB 8.46 billion in 2025, representing an 11.9% growth [2]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to recover to RMB 1.98 billion in 2025, up from RMB 1.81 billion in 2024 [2]. - The company’s EPS forecast for 2025 is revised to RMB 1.98, with a new estimate for 2027 at RMB 2.64 [1][2]. Business Segments - Respiratory solutions revenue decreased by 22.42% in 2024 to RMB 2.60 billion, affected by fluctuations in public demand [9]. - Glucose management and POCT solutions saw a significant revenue increase of 40.20% to RMB 1.03 billion, driven by product upgrades and market expansion [10]. - Emergency solutions revenue grew by 34.05% to RMB 239 million, reflecting strong demand for newly certified products [10]. Strategic Initiatives - The strategic investment in Inogen aims to accelerate international market penetration and enhance the company's export capabilities [11]. - The company is focusing on building trust and cooperation with overseas clients, which is expected to yield comprehensive progress in key regions [11].