Investment Rating - Investment rating: Outperform [1] - Target price: RMB 29.72 [1] Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of RMB 28.55 billion for 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 8.29%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was RMB 703 million, an increase of 39.05% [6][10] - The computing power business is experiencing rapid growth, with domestic revenue nearing RMB 6 billion and a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) exceeding 100% over the past two years [6][10] - The company has optimized its expense management, achieving a slight reduction in total expense ratio despite a decline in overall revenue [6][10] Financial Summary - Revenue forecast for 2025-2027: RMB 31.15 billion, RMB 32.97 billion, and RMB 34.57 billion respectively [4] - Net profit forecast for 2025-2027: RMB 1.01 billion, RMB 1.17 billion, and RMB 1.34 billion respectively [4][10] - Earnings per share (EPS) for 2025-2027: RMB 0.85, RMB 0.99, and RMB 1.13 respectively [4][10] Product Performance - Communication systems revenue: RMB 22.31 billion, down 6.19% year-on-year, with a gross profit margin of 19.46% [6][10] - Fiber and cable revenue: RMB 4.70 billion, down 12.77% year-on-year, with a gross profit margin of 25.35% [6][10] - Data network products revenue: RMB 1.14 billion, down 27.44% year-on-year, with a gross profit margin of 43.92% [6][10] Strategic Developments - The company has secured centralized procurement for 400G OTN, reinforcing its position as a core supplier [6][10] - Global expansion efforts include trial production at R&D and manufacturing bases in Thailand and Hungary, aimed at mitigating trade risks [6][10]
烽火通信:2024年年报及2025年一季报点评稳重求进,算力业务高速增长-20250507