Henglin(SH:603661) Xinda Securities·2025-05-07 14:04Investment Rating - The report does not provide a specific investment rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company has shown robust revenue growth, achieving a total revenue of 11.03 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 34.6%. However, the net profit attributable to the parent company remained flat at 263 million yuan, indicating a slight decline in profitability [1][5] - The report highlights the company's focus on cross-border e-commerce and regional expansion as key drivers for growth, with expectations for stable revenue growth in 2025 [2][3] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported a total revenue of 110.29 billion yuan, with a net profit of 263 million yuan, and a non-recurring net profit of 281 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 19.5% [1] - The Q1 2025 revenue was 26.54 billion yuan, a 12.7% increase year-on-year, but the net profit dropped by 49.5% to 52 million yuan due to significant asset and credit impairment losses [1][4] Business Segments - The office furniture, soft furniture, panel furniture, new material flooring, and other segments generated revenues of 35.5 billion, 14.3 billion, 10.22 billion, 15.33 billion, and 34.63 billion yuan respectively in 2024, with the other segment showing a remarkable growth of 331.1% attributed to cross-border e-commerce performance [2] - The manufacturing base in Vietnam achieved a revenue of 24.94 billion yuan in 2024, with a net profit margin increase to 9.3% due to improved capacity utilization [3] Profitability and Cash Flow - The company's gross margin for Q1 2025 was 16.3%, down 10.4 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin was 2.0%, down 3.3 percentage points [4] - Operating cash flow for Q1 2025 was negative 55 million yuan, primarily due to increased bill payments, but inventory and receivables turnover days showed stability [4][7] Future Outlook - The company expects to maintain steady growth in cross-border e-commerce and plans to expand into non-US markets and domestic markets, particularly in office chairs and sofas [3][2] - Projections for net profit from 2025 to 2027 are 400 million, 466 million, and 529 million yuan respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 9.3X, 8.0X, and 7.1X [4][5]