Henglin(SH:603661) Xinda Securities·2025-05-07 14:23Investment Rating - The report does not provide a specific investment rating for the company [1] Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 11.03 billion yuan for 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 34.6%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company remained stable at 263 million yuan, showing a slight decrease of 0.02% [1] - The first quarter of 2025 saw a revenue of 2.65 billion yuan, up 12.7% year-on-year, but the net profit dropped by 49.5% to 52 million yuan [1] - The report highlights that the pressure on profits in Q4 was mainly due to significant asset and credit impairment provisions totaling approximately 210 million yuan, including a goodwill impairment of 79 million yuan related to the brand "Chef Doctor" [1] - The company is expected to see stable growth driven by cross-border e-commerce expansion and regional market development [1][2] Revenue Breakdown - In 2024, the revenue from various segments was as follows: Office Furniture 3.55 billion yuan (+2.4%), Soft Furniture 1.43 billion yuan (+10.8%), Panel Furniture 1.02 billion yuan (-8.8%), New Material Flooring 1.53 billion yuan (+2.9%), and Other segments 3.46 billion yuan (+331.1%) [2] - The cross-border e-commerce segment is anticipated to continue its strong performance, with an expected increase in overseas supply chain shipping ratios and price adjustments to counteract tariff disruptions [2] Manufacturing and Capacity - The manufacturing base in Vietnam achieved a revenue of 2.49 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 24.7%, with net profit margins improving to 9.3% [3] - The company plans to actively explore non-U.S. markets and domestic markets, with stable growth expected in office chairs and sofa manufacturing [3] Profitability and Financial Metrics - In Q1 2025, the company's gross margin was 16.3%, down 10.4 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin was 2.0%, down 3.3 percentage points [4] - The report projects net profits for 2025 to be 400 million yuan, with corresponding P/E ratios of 9.3X, 8.0X, and 7.1X for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [4][5] Financial Projections - The company is expected to achieve total revenue of 12.12 billion yuan in 2025, with a growth rate of 9.9% [5] - The projected net profit attributable to the parent company for 2025 is 400 million yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 52.1% [5]