5月转债策略展望：业绩为底，超跌标的与条款机会为矛

1. Report Industry Investment Rating There is no information regarding the industry investment rating in the provided report. 2. Core Viewpoint of the Report The report forecasts the May convertible bond strategy, suggesting a focus on performance as the foundation, with opportunities in oversold targets and terms as the driving forces. It anticipates the end of the phased impact of tariff negatives and advocates for left - side oversold layout under monetary easing. The recommended convertible bond portfolio for May includes Wenshan Convertible Bond, Hongfa Convertible Bond, etc. [3][46] 3. Summary According to the Catalog 3.1 April Convertible Bond Market Review 3.1.1 Convertible Bond Market Review: Resilient Against the Underlying Stocks Amid Tariff Games, with Declining Parity but Rising Valuation - In April, the equity market fell 3.2%, and the convertible bond market followed with a 1.3% decline. The convertible bond ETF scale contracted 5.0% to 41.3 billion yuan. The trading activity of the equity - biased market declined, and the convertible bond parity dropped 7.4% to 86.9 yuan, while the 100 - yuan parity premium rate (MA5) rose 2.8pp to 25.3% [3][5][8] 3.1.2 Industry and Style: Media and Agriculture Led the Gains in April, with Medium - priced, Small - cap, and High - rated Styles Outperforming - In April, most industries' convertible bonds declined. Media (2.8%) and agriculture (1.9%) led the gains, while coal (-3.9%) and power equipment (-3.2%) had the largest declines. In terms of style, medium - priced, small - cap, and high - rated convertible bonds were more advantageous [22][25][29] 3.2 May Convertible Bond Market and Strategy Outlook 3.2.1 Convertible Bond Market Outlook: The End of the Phased Impact of Tariff Negatives, Left - side Oversold Layout Under Monetary Easing - In 2024, the performance of convertible bond underlying stocks was generally under pressure, but there was marginal improvement in Q1 2025. Targets with overseas revenue accounting for over 20% were still 3% more oversold than the industry average in April and may have room for repair. About 32% of convertible bonds that entered the call - back progress and 45% that triggered the call - back clause since last year chose to implement the call - back. The central bank announced a 50BP reserve requirement ratio cut and a 10BP interest rate cut on May 7 [35][41][45] 3.2.2 Convertible Bond Strategy Outlook: Performance as the Foundation, Opportunities in Oversold Targets and Terms as the Driving Forces - The strategy combines a 40% base position of broad - based large - cap targets, 30% for oversold repair, and 30% for call - back clause opportunities. The recommended convertible bond portfolio for May includes Wenshan Convertible Bond, Hongfa Convertible Bond, etc. [46][47] 3.3 Quantitative Strategies: Medium - volatility Strategies Outperformed, High - volatility Strategies Underperformed 3.3.1 Low - volatility Strategy: Low - price Enhancement Strategy - The strategy uses the low - price factor and relaxed the overseas revenue ratio constraint after April 22. The performance from April 1 - 30 was 0.01%, outperforming the benchmark by 1.32%. The current holdings and changes compared to the previous period are also provided [52][53][57] 3.3.2 Medium - volatility Strategy: Improved Dual - low Strategy - The strategy selects convertible bonds with relatively low prices and conversion premium rates. The performance in April was 1.28%, outperforming the benchmark by 2.59%. The current holdings and changes are presented [59][62][63] 3.3.3 High - volatility Strategy: High - price and High - elasticity Strategy - The strategy selects high - price and low - premium convertible bonds and balances industry allocation. The performance in April was - 2.20%, underperforming the benchmark by 0.89%. The current holdings and changes are detailed [65][66][70] 3.4 Primary Market Tracking 3.4.1 May Primary Market Issuance - As of May 5, there were no announced convertible bonds pending listing or issuance in May. Convertible bonds listed in April included Zhengfan Convertible Bond, Haohan Convertible Bond, etc. The issuance process of convertible bonds and the list of recently fast - tracked convertible bonds are also provided [72][73][75]