HDPI(SH:600027) Tianfeng Securities·2025-05-08 04:25Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with an expected relative return of over 20% within the next six months [6][17]. Core Views - The company's revenue for Q1 2025 was 26.577 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 14.14%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was 1.93 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.66%. The net profit excluding non-recurring items was 1.896 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 17.01% [1][3]. - The decline in electricity generation and a slight decrease in electricity prices contributed to the revenue drop. The total electricity generation was 51.384 billion kWh, down approximately 8.51% year-on-year, and the average on-grid electricity price was about 505.71 yuan/MWh, a decrease of about 0.71% [2][3]. - The decrease in coal prices significantly improved the company's profitability, with the average closing price of coal at Qinhuangdao Port being 760 yuan/ton, down 164 yuan/ton year-on-year. The gross profit margin for Q1 was 10.7%, an increase of 2.3 percentage points year-on-year [3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company achieved a net profit of 1.93 billion yuan in Q1 2025, up 3.66% year-on-year, and a net profit excluding non-recurring items of 1.896 billion yuan, up 17.01% year-on-year [1][3]. - The revenue for Q1 2025 was 26.577 billion yuan, down 14.14% year-on-year, primarily due to a decrease in electricity generation and slight declines in electricity prices [1][2]. Asset Injection - The company plans to inject high-quality thermal power assets from China Huadian, with the target assets having an operational installed capacity of approximately 16 GW. The total transaction price for the restructuring is 7.167 billion yuan [4]. Profit Forecast - The profit forecast for 2025-2027 has been adjusted downwards, with expected net profits of 6.4 billion yuan, 7 billion yuan, and 7.4 billion yuan respectively. The corresponding price-to-earnings ratios are projected to be 9.1, 8.4, and 8.0 times [4].