能源化工期权策略早报-20250508

Report Date and Title - The report is titled "Energy and Chemical Options Daily Report 2025 - 05 - 08" and is an options strategy morning report for energy and chemical products [2] Core Viewpoint - The report analyzes the fundamentals, market trends, and volatility of various energy and chemical options, and provides corresponding option trading strategies and suggestions for different types of energy and chemical options [3] Industry Classification and Options Included - Energy and chemical options are mainly divided into five categories: basic chemicals (methanol, rubber, synthetic rubber, styrene options), energy (crude oil, liquefied gas options), polyester chemicals (paraxylene, PTA, ethylene glycol, short - fiber options), polyolefin chemicals (polypropylene, PVC, polyethylene options), and other chemicals (caustic soda, soda ash, urea options) [3] Summary by Industry Group Basic Chemicals Sector - Methanol Options: The price in Shandong on May 6 showed different levels in different regions. The market has been in a weak and bearish trend since the high in March. The implied volatility is above the historical average. A combination strategy of long - put and short - call options is recommended to obtain time - value and directional returns, such as S_MA2506P2225, etc. [3] - Rubber/Synthetic Rubber Options: The price of high - cis butadiene rubber in Shandong and other regions decreased. The market is in a weak consolidation and rebound pattern under bearish pressure. The implied volatility is at a relatively high historical level. A bearish volatility - selling strategy is recommended to obtain directional and time - value returns, such as S_RU2509P14250, etc. [3] - Styrene Options: In April, downstream demand was affected by the China - US tariff war, with high inventories. The market has been in a weak and volatile pattern since the high in late February. The implied volatility remains at a relatively high historical level. A volatility - selling option combination strategy is recommended to obtain time - value and directional returns, such as S_EB2506P6700, etc. [4] Oil and Gas Sector - Crude Oil Options: OPEC+ increased supply in June, but exports did not increase significantly, and the US maintained production cuts. The market has shown large fluctuations under bearish pressure. The implied volatility is at a relatively high level. A volatility - selling strategy is recommended to obtain time - value returns, such as S_SC2506P450 [4] - Liquefied Gas Options: The benchmark price increased slightly compared to the beginning of last month. The market has shown a short - term weak rebound pattern with pressure. The implied volatility is above the historical average. A strategy of selling a bearish combination of call and put options is recommended, adjusting the position delta according to market changes, and closing the position if the market fluctuates sharply, such as S_PG2506P4350 [4] Polyester Chemicals Sector - PX/PTA Options: The PTA load decreased in April and is expected to decline further in May. The inventory showed a mixed situation. The market has been in a mild bullish pattern under bearish pressure. The implied volatility is at a relatively high level. A volatility - selling strategy is recommended to obtain time - value returns, such as S_TA2506P4450 [5] - Ethylene Glycol Options: As of April 28, port and downstream inventories changed. The domestic supply - demand balance is expected to strengthen in May. The market has shown a large - scale volatile pattern under short - term bearish pressure. The implied volatility has risen rapidly to a relatively high historical level. A volatility - selling strategy is recommended to obtain time - value returns, such as S_EG2506P4100 [5] - Short - Fiber Options: The polyester load showed different trends in different products. The market has shown a rebound pattern under bearish pressure since late February. The implied volatility is at a relatively high average level. A volatility - selling strategy of selling call and put options is recommended to obtain time - value returns, such as S_PF2506P6000 [5] Polyolefin Chemicals Sector - Polypropylene Options: The inventory of PP production enterprises, traders, and ports showed different changes. The market has shown a weak and volatile pattern with pressure. The implied volatility is at a relatively high historical level. A strategy of selling a bearish combination of call and put options is recommended, adjusting the position delta according to market changes, and closing the position if the market fluctuates sharply, such as S_PP2506P7100 [6] - Polyethylene Options: The inventory of PE production enterprises and traders changed. The market has shown a weak consolidation pattern with pressure. The implied volatility has risen rapidly to a relatively high level. A bearish directional strategy is recommended to obtain directional returns, such as B_L2506P7200 [6] - PVC Options: The factory and social inventories decreased in April. The market has shown a volatile and rebound pattern with pressure. The implied volatility is at a relatively low level. A bearish directional strategy is recommended to obtain directional returns, such as B_V2506P4900 [6] Data Tables - Option Underlying Market Data: It includes the closing price, change, trading volume, and open interest of various option underlying assets [8] - Option Volume, Open Interest, and Turnover Data: It shows the volume, open interest, and turnover of different options, as well as their changes [9] - Option Volume, Open Interest, and Turnover PCR Data: It presents the PCR values and their changes of different options [10] - Option Maximum Open Interest at Strike Prices: It shows the pressure points, support points, and maximum open interest of call and put options for different underlying assets [11] - Option Implied Volatility Data: It includes the implied volatility, its change, annual average, and other related data of different options [13]