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电力设备系列报告之一:电网升级改造拉动需求,产业链有望受益
Bank of China Securities·2025-05-08 07:02

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the power equipment industry [1]. Core Insights - The demand for power grid upgrades is driven by the increasing proportion of global renewable energy installations and the emergence of new electricity consumption scenarios, which directly benefits the power equipment sector [1][3]. - The construction of ultra-high voltage (UHV) transmission lines is accelerating due to the growing need for cross-regional power transmission and renewable energy delivery, with flexible direct current technology expected to increase its penetration rate [1][3]. - Domestic and international initiatives for power grid renovation are expected to boost transformer demand, benefiting the entire industry chain [1][3]. Summary by Sections New Power Consumption Scenarios - The emergence of new power consumption scenarios, represented by computing power, is creating greater electricity demand and necessitating upgrades to the power grid [3][33]. - The growth in renewable energy generation, particularly solar and wind, is placing additional demands on the grid to accommodate fluctuating supply [25][21]. Main Power Grid - The acceleration of UHV construction is expected to enhance the capacity for renewable energy consumption [44]. - As of December 2024, China has built and put into operation 41 UHV transmission lines, including 20 AC and 21 DC lines, with plans for more in the upcoming years [50]. - The investment scale for UHV projects is projected to reach 380 billion yuan from 2021 to 2025, benefiting core component manufacturers [3][30]. Distribution Network - The domestic push for distribution network upgrades, coupled with strong overseas demand for grid modernization, is anticipated to increase transformer requirements [3][31]. - China's transformer production accounts for 35% of the global market, with significant export potential due to supply constraints in overseas markets [3][32]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies that will benefit from the high demand in the UHV sector and those with international expansion potential in the transformer segment [3]. - Recommended companies include Huaming Equipment and Haixing Electric, with additional attention to China Western Power, Guodian NARI, Siyuan Electric, Pinggao Electric, Mingyang Electric, Sifang Co., and Jiangsu Huachen [3].