GUOTAI HAITONG SECURITIES·2025-05-08 07:13Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the non-ferrous metals industry [1] Core Insights - The non-ferrous metals sector has been significantly increased in holdings, with copper and gold seeing the most substantial increases in Q1 2025. The sector is currently in an "overweight" position, reflecting positive market sentiment and expectations for continued growth [2][3] - The report highlights a positive outlook for Q2 2025, driven by domestic macroeconomic policies aimed at boosting internal demand, which is expected to benefit the industrial metals sector, particularly aluminum [3][5] - The report identifies specific investment opportunities within the sector, recommending increased holdings in rare earth magnetic materials and companies with strong cost control and favorable customer structures in aluminum processing [3][4] Summary by Sections Industry Overview - In Q1 2025, the non-ferrous metals sector outperformed the market, with a sector increase of 12.0%, ranking first among 28 major industries [5][12] - The sector's performance is attributed to global monetary policy shifts towards easing and enhanced expectations for domestic economic recovery [5][12] Sub-Sectors Performance - Precious Metals: The precious metals sector showed the best performance in Q1 2025, with gold and silver prices increasing by 36.4% and 32.6% year-on-year, respectively. The sector's net profit rose by 51.8% year-on-year [45][46] - Base Metals: Base metals, excluding nickel, saw price increases, with copper and aluminum prices rising by 11.3% and 7.4% year-on-year. The net profit for copper increased by 79.6% year-on-year [38][41] - Rare Metals: The rare metals sector is expected to benefit from supply constraints and increasing demand, particularly in the cobalt market, which has seen price increases due to supply disruptions [51][53] Holdings Situation - In Q1 2025, the overall holding ratio for the non-ferrous metals sector increased to 1.30%, up from 1.09% in Q4 2024, indicating a shift from underweight to a slight overweight position [56][57]