MGI(SH:688114) ZHONGTAI SECURITIES·2025-05-08 12:45Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company, indicating an expected relative performance increase of 5% to 15% over the next 6 to 12 months [9]. Core Viewpoints - The company has shown resilience in performance despite geopolitical risks, with steady growth in global sequencing installations [1]. - The core sequencing business is experiencing robust growth, with a significant increase in installed machines and market share, particularly in the domestic market [6]. - The company is positioned as a leader in the domestic sequencing market, benefiting from the ongoing trend of domestic substitution as competitors face challenges [6]. Financial Performance Summary - For 2024, the company reported revenue of 3.013 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.48%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of -601 million yuan, a slight improvement of 1.10% year-on-year [3]. - The first quarter of 2025 saw a revenue decline of 14.26% year-on-year, with a net profit of -133 million yuan, reflecting a 33.67% increase compared to the previous year [3]. - The company’s revenue projections for 2025 to 2027 are 3.607 billion yuan, 4.500 billion yuan, and 5.597 billion yuan, respectively, with expected growth rates of 20%, 25%, and 24% [6]. Market Position and Strategy - The company achieved a historical high in new sales installations, with nearly 1,270 new machines sold in 2024, representing a 48.59% increase year-on-year [6]. - The global market share is approximately 7.1% based on revenue, and 28.2% based on new installations, indicating strong competitive positioning [6]. - The company is expanding its overseas presence with a marketing team of nearly 900 people, enhancing local support services to accelerate product adoption [6]. Cost and Efficiency Metrics - The company’s sales expense ratio for 2024 was 25.42%, a decrease of 3.16 percentage points year-on-year, while the management expense ratio increased by 1.83 percentage points to 19.98% [6]. - The gross margin for 2024 was 55.51%, down 3.96 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to changes in product mix [6]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to continue benefiting from innovative product launches and global channel development, despite potential macroeconomic impacts on conventional business growth [6]. - The forecasted net profit for 2025 is -177 million yuan, with significant growth anticipated in subsequent years, reaching 182 million yuan by 2027 [6].