Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" [6] Core Views - The company is expected to see a profit turning point due to high profitability and gradual release of profit elasticity, despite a slight decline in gross margin to 70.22% in 2024 [2] - The company has a strong cash flow generation capability, with a net cash flow from operating activities of 133 million yuan in 2024, indicating good operational quality [3] - The company is positioned to benefit from domestic substitution trends and has built a unique "product + service" platform, which is expected to drive growth in the coming years [4] Summary by Sections Profitability - The gross margin for 2024 is projected at 70.22%, down 7.85 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to the lower margin impact from the consolidation of Fuli Instruments. The core products, chromatography fillers and chromatography media, maintain a gross margin of 81.56%, with a slight year-on-year decline of 2.39 percentage points [2] - The company’s high R&D investment has led to a sufficient reserve of new products, which can help mitigate risks from intensified market competition [2] Operational Quality - The net cash flow from operating activities for 2024 is expected to be 133 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 5.99%, indicating sustained operational quality [3] - The accounts receivable turnover days for 2024 are 117 days, shortened by approximately 14 days year-on-year, while the first quarter of 2025 shows an increase to 145 days, likely due to a higher proportion of longer-term instrument products [3] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 966 million yuan in 2025, growing by 23.44% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 139 million yuan, representing a growth of 68.00% [4] - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is 0.34 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 66 times based on the closing price on May 8, 2025 [4]
纳微科技(688690):2024年报、2025年一季报点评报告:新机遇下看好利润拐点