Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate-A" rating for the company Longtu Guozhao (688721.SH) [1] Core Views - The company's Q1 2025 performance is under pressure due to new factory amortization and strategic price reductions, leading to a decline in revenue and net profit [2][5] - The company reported Q1 2025 revenue of 54.37 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 8.97%, and a net profit of 17.33 million yuan, down 30.00% year-on-year [3][5] - The decline in revenue and profit is attributed to the new Zhuhai factory still ramping up production capacity, with depreciation and amortization increasing [5] - As the Zhuhai project progresses, the utilization rate of equipment is expected to improve, leading to a recovery in revenue and profit [5][6] - The company is focusing on higher process product development, aiming to expand its product process level to 90nm and 65nm, which will meet the needs of large wafer fabs [7] Financial Performance Summary - For Q1 2025, the company's gross margin was 52.44%, down 7.27 percentage points year-on-year, and the net profit margin was 31.88%, down 9.58 percentage points year-on-year [6] - The increase in the expense ratio contributed to the decline in net profit margin, with the selling expense ratio at 3.59%, management expense ratio at 4.56%, financial expense ratio at 0.62%, and R&D expense ratio at 10.40% [6] - The company forecasts revenues of 348 million, 509 million, and 788 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 41.0%, 46.6%, and 54.6% [8][10] - Net profits are expected to be 103 million, 162 million, and 263 million yuan for the same years, with growth rates of 11.8%, 57.6%, and 62.3% [8][10] - The corresponding EPS for these years is projected to be 0.77, 1.21, and 1.97 yuan, leading to P/E ratios of 59.8X, 38.0X, and 23.4X based on the closing price of 46.00 yuan on May 8 [8][10]
龙图光罩：新工厂摊销叠加策略性降价销售使公司2025Q1业绩承压-20250508