BANK OF CHINA(601988) 华鑫证券·2025-05-08 15:38Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company [10] Core Views - The company's revenue growth has improved, with a year-on-year increase of 2.6% in Q1 2025, which is an acceleration of 1.4 percentage points compared to 2024 [4] - The net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 2.9% year-on-year in Q1 2025, primarily due to an increase in the effective tax rate to 20%, up 3.5 percentage points [4] - The asset quality remains stable, with a non-performing loan ratio of 1.25% and a provision coverage ratio of 198% [8] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a total revenue of 6300.9 billion yuan and a net profit of 2378.4 billion yuan, with respective year-on-year growth rates of 1.2% and 2.6% [3] - For Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 1649.3 billion yuan and a net profit of 543.6 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 2.6% and a decline of 2.9% respectively [3] Asset and Liability Management - Total assets grew by 6.9% year-on-year to 36 trillion yuan, with deposits increasing by 6.2% to 25.6 trillion yuan and loans rising by 8.3% to 22.6 trillion yuan [5] - The company added 1.01 trillion yuan in new loans in Q1 2025, which is an increase of 0.09 trillion yuan compared to the same period last year [5] Income Sources - Non-interest income surged by 18.9% year-on-year in Q1 2025, with fee income growing by 2.1% [7] - Other non-interest income saw a significant increase of 37.3%, with foreign exchange net gains rising by 668.5% [7] Profitability Metrics - The net interest margin decreased by 11 basis points to 1.29% in Q1 2025, primarily due to a larger decline in asset yield compared to the improvement in liability costs [6] - The estimated asset yield fell by 0.3 percentage points to 3.1%, influenced by industry-wide loan rate declines [6] Future Earnings Forecast - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 2404 billion yuan, 2453 billion yuan, and 2477 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.82, 0.83, and 0.84 yuan [10]