NOPOSION(SZ:002215) Haitong Securities International·2025-05-09 11:29Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Outperform" rating to the company with a target price of RMB 13.80, based on a projected 15x PE for 2025 [1][9]. Core Insights - The company achieved a net profit attributable to shareholders of RMB 585 million in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 148.10%. The net profit after non-recurring items grew by 167.68% to RMB 511 million [1][9]. - Revenue for 2024 is expected to reach RMB 5.29 billion, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 28.37%. In Q4 2024, revenue surged to RMB 1.39 billion, marking a quarter-on-quarter increase of 182.01% and a year-on-year increase of 31.44% [1][9]. - The company reported a significant increase in fresh product sales volume, which grew by 99.17% year-on-year to 49,206.57 tons [1][9]. Financial Summary - The financial projections for the company indicate a net profit attributable to shareholders of RMB 926 million, RMB 1.31 billion, and RMB 1.60 billion for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively. Corresponding EPS is projected at RMB 0.92, RMB 1.30, and RMB 1.59 [3][9]. - The company’s revenue is forecasted to grow from RMB 5.29 billion in 2024 to RMB 8.56 billion by 2027, with a compound annual growth rate of approximately 15.7% [3][9]. - The net asset return rate is expected to increase from 15.3% in 2024 to 28.4% by 2027, indicating improved profitability [3][9]. Operational Highlights - The company has successfully increased its yield per acre, achieving approximately 1.3 tons/acre in the 2023/2024 season and over 1.4 tons/acre in the 2024/2025 season, attributed to improved agricultural techniques and tree age [10]. - The company has transferred around 56,000 acres of land, with an expected production area of 35,000-40,000 acres by the 2025/2026 season, indicating strong growth potential in land utilization [10].