Minsheng Securities·2025-05-09 11:52Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company [4][6]. Core Views - The company reported Q1 2025 revenue of 16.301 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 29.44%, and a net profit of 1.356 billion yuan, up 166.50% year-on-year [1]. - The ASP (Average Selling Price) faced short-term pressure, with a Q1 2025 ASP of $933.25 per 8-inch wafer, down 8.95% quarter-on-quarter, but is expected to recover in the second half of the year [2]. - The company’s monthly production capacity for 8-inch wafers reached 973,300 units, a year-on-year increase of 19.47%, with a capacity utilization rate of 89.6%, up 8.8 percentage points year-on-year [2]. - The revenue from consumer electronics increased to 40.6% of total revenue, while the automotive sector's revenue share rose to 9.6% [3]. - The company’s advanced process profitability is gradually being released, with minority shareholder profit significantly improving compared to the previous year [4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Q1 2025 revenue was 16.301 billion yuan, with a gross margin of 23.10%, up 8.91 percentage points year-on-year, and a net profit margin of 14.24%, up 10.67 percentage points year-on-year [1]. - The company’s capital expenditure for Q1 2025 was 10.157 billion yuan, indicating continued strong investment [2]. Market Dynamics - The company’s revenue structure is shifting towards high-end products, with 12-inch products accounting for 78.1% of total revenue, up 2.5 percentage points year-on-year [3]. - The revenue share from the Chinese market increased to 84.3%, benefiting from local supply chain trends, while the shares from the US and Eurasia decreased [3]. Future Outlook - The report projects a slight adjustment in net profit forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to 66.407 billion yuan, 75.903 billion yuan, and 86.226 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 134, 103, and 91 [4][5].