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聚光科技:业绩扭亏为盈,国产替代打开空间-20250510

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company with a target price of 25.90 CNY for the next six months, based on a current price of 20.95 CNY [1]. Core Insights - The company has turned profitable, with significant growth potential driven by domestic substitution and equipment upgrade policies. The report forecasts substantial increases in revenue and net profit over the next few years [6][24]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 3.61359 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 13.6%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 206.86 million CNY, up 164.1% from the previous year. For Q1 2025, revenue was 550 million CNY, a 1.4% increase year-on-year, while the net profit was a loss of 21 million CNY, showing a reduction in losses compared to the previous year [6][14]. Business Model and Strategy - The company is a leader in high-end analytical instruments in China, focusing on core instrument business while reducing non-profitable segments. It has developed a "4+X" multi-business model covering various sectors including smart industry, smart environment, smart laboratory, and life sciences [7][12]. Profitability and Efficiency - The gross margins for the company's core instrument, operation services, and environmental governance businesses were 48.5%, 38.0%, and 27.3% respectively in 2024, showing improvements year-on-year. The company has implemented cost reduction and efficiency enhancement measures, leading to a significant decrease in expense ratios [6][17][19]. Earnings Forecast - The report projects net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to be 332.24 million CNY, 413.02 million CNY, and 485.35 million CNY respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.74 CNY, 0.92 CNY, and 1.08 CNY [24][26]. Valuation - The company is valued at a PE ratio of 35 times for 2025, which is lower than the average PE of comparable companies at 40.5 times. This reflects the company's potential to benefit from domestic substitution and equipment upgrade policies [24][27].