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通信行业周报:中美将开始接触,出海产业链预期向好
Tebon Securities·2025-05-10 14:23

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the telecommunications industry [2] Core Viewpoints - The report suggests that the long-standing trade friction between China and the U.S. may ease, leading to potential benefits for the Chinese industry [10][11] - It highlights that Chinese manufacturers are becoming indispensable in the international supply chain, particularly in the IoT module market and AI hardware supply [11] - The report anticipates adjustments in AI chip export restrictions, which could alter the competitive landscape in the AI sector [12][13] Summary by Sections Investment Strategy - U.S.-China Trade Relations: The report indicates that U.S.-China negotiations may begin, with expectations of tariff reductions, particularly on the current 145% tariffs imposed by the U.S. [10] - Chinese Industry Benefits: It notes that Chinese firms dominate the global IoT module market, holding over 50% market share among the top three manufacturers [11] - AI Chip Export Regulations: The report discusses potential relaxations in AI chip export restrictions by the U.S., which could significantly impact American companies, especially in the context of the growing Chinese AI market projected to reach $50 billion [12][13] Industry News - Low-altitude Economy in Wuhan: Wuhan plans to establish 1,000 low-altitude takeoff and landing sites, aiming for a 20% increase in the low-altitude economy [14] - Alibaba's ZeroSearch: Alibaba has open-sourced the ZeroSearch model, significantly reducing costs by over 87% while enhancing search capabilities [15] - Starlink in India: Starlink has received approval to provide satellite communication services in India, which may accelerate satellite internet development globally [16] - Shenzhen's 5G Network: Shenzhen is constructing a comprehensive "5G + millimeter wave + satellite" network, aiming for full coverage and improved infrastructure [17] Weekly Review and Focus - Market Performance: The telecommunications sector saw a slight increase of 0.02%, underperforming compared to major indices, with notable gains in optical modules and low-altitude economy sectors [18][21] - Investment Recommendations: The report suggests focusing on companies involved in the overseas supply chain, such as Yiyuan Communication and Industrial Fulian, as well as long-term attention on major telecom operators and infrastructure providers [22]