ZHONGTAI SECURITIES·2025-05-11 04:25Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the industry [4] Core Insights - The modern coal chemical industry is experiencing a development opportunity period, driven by industrial upgrades and energy security [10] - Xinjiang is emerging as a strong coal chemical base due to its abundant resources, favorable policies, and significant investment in coal chemical projects [10][28] - The report identifies three major investment directions within the coal chemical industry: equipment providers, project owners, and service providers [9][10] Summary by Sections 1. Modern Coal Chemical Industry Development - Modern coal chemical processes produce alternative petrochemical products and clean fuels, including coal-to-olefins and coal-to-oil [17] - The industry is essential for ensuring national energy security, given China's reliance on coal as a primary energy source [22][26] 2. Xinjiang's Coal Chemical Industry - Xinjiang has rich coal reserves, with a total resource of 2.19 trillion tons, accounting for about 40% of the national total [28] - The region's coal quality is high, primarily consisting of low-sulfur and high-calorific value coal types, making it suitable for large-scale coal chemical projects [33] - Favorable national policies have positioned Xinjiang as a key coal chemical base, with over 800 billion yuan in planned investments for various coal chemical projects [45] 3. Economic Competitiveness - Xinjiang's coal-to-gas production costs are significantly lower than those in Inner Mongolia and Shaanxi, with costs estimated at 1.28 yuan per cubic meter compared to 2.06 yuan and 2.68 yuan, respectively [53] - The report highlights the cost advantages of Xinjiang's coal resources, with pithead prices for coal being substantially lower than in other regions [34][53] 4. Investment Opportunities - Recommended companies for investment include those involved in engineering design, total contracting, and equipment supply, such as Sandi Chemical, China National Chemical, and Donghua Technology [9] - Project owners benefiting from Xinjiang's cost advantages include Baofeng Energy and Guanghui Energy [9] - Service providers in the coal chemical sector, such as Guangdong Hongda and Xuefeng Technology, are also highlighted as potential investment opportunities [9]