原油周报：宏观乐观预期及地缘升温推动油价回升-20250511

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the oil processing industry, consistent with the previous rating [1]. Core Insights - Oil prices have shown a rebound due to optimistic macroeconomic expectations and heightened geopolitical tensions, with Brent and WTI prices reaching $63.91 and $61.02 per barrel respectively as of May 9, 2025 [7][29]. - The OPEC+ group has accelerated production increases, adding 411,000 barrels per day, which has reinforced market expectations of oversupply [7]. - The report highlights the performance of the oil and petrochemical sector, with the sector rising by 0.95% compared to a 2.00% increase in the CSI 300 index [8]. Oil Price Overview - As of May 9, 2025, Brent crude futures settled at $63.91 per barrel, up $2.62 (+4.27%) from the previous week, while WTI crude futures rose to $61.02 per barrel, an increase of $2.73 (+4.68%) [29]. - The Urals crude price remained stable at $65.49 per barrel, while ESPO crude increased by $1.83 (+3.16%) to $59.68 per barrel [29]. Offshore Drilling Services - The number of global offshore self-elevating drilling platforms reached 383, an increase of 2 from the previous week, while floating drilling platforms decreased to 137, down by 2 [38]. U.S. Oil Supply - U.S. crude oil production was reported at 13.367 million barrels per day, a decrease of 98,000 barrels from the previous week [54]. - The number of active drilling rigs in the U.S. fell to 474, down by 5, and the number of fracturing fleets decreased to 195, down by 6 [54][46]. U.S. Oil Demand - U.S. refinery crude processing averaged 16.071 million barrels per day, a slight decrease of 7,000 barrels from the previous week, with a refinery utilization rate of 89.00%, up 0.4 percentage points [65]. U.S. Oil Inventory - Total U.S. crude oil inventories stood at 837 million barrels, a decrease of 1.452 million barrels (-0.17%) from the previous week [74]. - Strategic oil reserves increased by 580,000 barrels (+0.15%) to 399 million barrels, while commercial crude inventories decreased by 2.032 million barrels (-0.46%) to 438 million barrels [74]. Related Companies - Key companies mentioned include China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC), China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation (Sinopec), and China National Petroleum Corporation (PetroChina) [1].