Shenwan Hongyuan Securities·2025-05-11 09:14Investment Rating - The report rates the defense and military industry as "Overweight" indicating a positive outlook for the sector [3][29]. Core Insights - The defense and military industry is expected to enter a new cycle driven by geopolitical conflicts, enhancing China's military trade focus and opening international markets for Chinese military products [5][3]. - The ongoing tariff conflicts highlight the comparative advantages of the military industry, with increased emphasis on self-sufficiency and potential growth in military investments [5][3]. - The fundamental changes in the military sector are solidifying the basis for industry growth, with a focus on quality and quantity improvements as the military approaches its centenary goals [5][3]. - There is a recommendation to increase attention on military stocks, particularly those related to precision-guided weapons, underwater capabilities, AI/robotics, and traditional aircraft supply chains [5][3]. Market Review - Last week, the Shenwan Defense and Military Index rose by 6.33%, outperforming major indices such as the Shanghai Composite Index, which increased by 1.92% [6][3]. - The top five performing stocks in the defense sector included Chengxi Aviation (59.26%), Hwa Wo (48.85%), and Lijun (36.49%) [6][14]. - Conversely, the bottom five performers were Platinum (−4.26%), Lingyun (−4.00%), and Guangdong Hongda (−2.52%) [6][15]. Valuation Changes - The current PE-TTM for the Shenwan military sector is 75.10, indicating it is in the upper range historically, with a valuation percentile of 65.46% since January 2014 [15][19]. - The aerospace and aviation equipment sectors are noted to be at relatively high valuation levels since 2020 [15][19]. Key Valuation Targets - The report lists key valuation targets, including companies like Feili Hua, Tianqin Equipment, and Aerospace Electronics, with projected earnings growth and PE ratios indicating potential investment opportunities [21][24].