ZHESHANG SECURITIES·2025-05-11 10:20Group 1: Industry Overview - The overall revenue growth rate for the pharmaceutical and biotechnology sector in Q1 2025 was -4.8%, with a net profit growth rate of -12.2%[3] - The raw material drug sector showed resilience with a revenue growth rate of -3.6% and a net profit growth rate of 10.5% in Q1 2025, benefiting from demand recovery and price stabilization[3] Group 2: Profitability and Financial Performance - In 2024, major raw material drug companies saw an increase in gross margin and net margin by 0.78 percentage points and 0.39 percentage points respectively, while Q1 2025 saw a decline in average gross margin and net margin by 0.64 percentage points and 1.87 percentage points respectively[5] - The average operating cash flow for major raw material drug companies reached 10.04 billion yuan in 2024, a 14.65% increase from 2023, indicating a positive trend[31] Group 3: Capital Expenditure Trends - Capital expenditure for major raw material drug companies in 2024 totaled 7.242 billion yuan, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 4.12%[36] - The capital expenditure to depreciation ratio for the raw material drug sector decreased from 1.79 in 2023 to 1.27 in 2024, indicating ongoing capacity reduction and structural adjustments[36] Group 4: Investment Strategy - Investment recommendations focus on selecting raw material drug companies with strong growth attributes and stable competitive landscapes, particularly in bulk and specialty raw materials[44] - Companies like Guobang Pharmaceutical and Tianyu Co., Ltd. are highlighted for their favorable supply dynamics and demand recovery[44] Group 5: Risk Factors - Risks include intensified competition leading to suboptimal recovery in product prices and volumes, production safety incidents, and exchange rate fluctuations impacting profitability[47]