Shenwan Hongyuan Securities·2025-05-11 14:41Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the automotive industry, particularly focusing on the growth of new energy heavy trucks and the technological advancements in Robotaxi services [5][6]. Core Insights - In April, the expected sales of new energy heavy trucks are around 12,500 to 13,000 units, representing a year-on-year increase of over 170%, with an industry penetration rate of approximately 20%, marking a historical high [5]. - The integration of Geely and its brand Zeekr aims to enhance operational efficiency and profitability, boosting confidence in Geely's sustained profitability in the new energy competition [5]. - The report highlights key players in the industry, including Xiaomi, Geely, Xpeng, Li Auto, Huawei, and others, as well as component manufacturers like Top Group, Sanhua, and others [5]. Industry Updates - In the 17th week of 2025, retail sales of passenger vehicles reached 452,000 units, a week-on-week increase of 17.10%, with new energy vehicle sales at 238,000 units, reflecting a penetration rate of 52.65% [5]. - The recent week saw a decline in raw material price indices for both traditional and new energy vehicles, with traditional vehicle raw material prices down by 1.4% week-on-week and 0.4% month-on-month [5]. - The total transaction value in the automotive industry for the week was 359.78 billion yuan, with the automotive industry index rising by 2.03% [5][6]. Market Situation - The automotive industry index outperformed the CSI 300 index, with 251 stocks rising and 37 falling during the week [5][6]. - Significant events include Geely's proposal to privatize Zeekr, the launch of the upgraded Li Auto L series, and the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology's announcement to regulate hidden door handles [5][6]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on domestic leading manufacturers such as BYD, Geely, and Xpeng, as well as companies involved in smart technology and central enterprise reforms [5]. - It suggests monitoring component manufacturers with strong performance growth and overseas expansion capabilities, including Fuyao Glass and others [5]. Key Events - Geely plans to acquire the remaining 34.3% of Zeekr shares at a price of $25.66 per share, which is a 13.6% premium over the recent trading price [6][7]. - The launch of the upgraded Li Auto L series features advanced smart driving capabilities and improved configurations, with prices ranging from 249,800 to 439,800 yuan [10][13]. Material Costs and Shipping Prices - The report notes a decrease in traditional raw material prices, with steel and aluminum prices down by 1.5% and 1.7% respectively [51][52].