China Post Securities·2025-05-12 03:13Industry Investment Rating - The investment rating for the food and beverage industry is "Outperform the Market" and is maintained [2] Core Viewpoints - The food and beverage industry is experiencing a mixed performance across various segments, with opportunities in new channels and product categories. The report highlights the need for companies to adapt to changing consumer preferences and market dynamics [5][6][7] Summary by Sections 1. Baijiu Sector - The baijiu sector achieved a total revenue of CNY 440.515 billion in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 6.89%, and a net profit of CNY 166.778 billion, up 7.50%. In Q1 2025, the sector's revenue was CNY 152.933 billion, growing 1.82%, with a net profit of CNY 63.340 billion, up 2.33% [15][19] - High-end baijiu brands like Moutai, Wuliangye, and Luzhou Laojiao are expected to see stable growth targets of around 9%, 5%, and steady progress respectively for 2025 [19][21] - The report notes that companies are increasing dividend rates to enhance returns to investors, with expected dividend yields for 2025 ranging from 1.39% to 6.28% across various brands [18][20] 2. Consumer Goods - The frozen food sector is facing a slowdown in growth, with leading companies like Anjijia showing resilience while others struggle due to intense price competition [6] - The snack food industry is diversifying through new channels such as e-commerce and overseas markets, with companies like Yanjinpuzi achieving significant growth through brand investment [6] - The soft drink segment is witnessing strong growth from brands like Dongpeng, while other established brands maintain operational resilience [6] 3. Pet Food - The pet food industry is maintaining high growth, with leading companies like Guibao Pet and Zhongchong Co. reporting revenue growth rates of 21.22% and 19.15% respectively in 2024 [7] 4. Bakery Products - The bakery sector is recovering, with significant growth in the supermarket channel, particularly for new products from brands like Sam's Club [8] 5. Dairy Products - Yili's revenue is stabilizing with better-than-expected profit performance, while New Dairy is seeing continuous profit margin improvements [8] 6. Beer - The beer market is showing signs of recovery, with major brands like Qingdao Beer and Chongqing Beer reporting volume increases in Q1 2025 [9] 7. Seasoning Products - The seasoning industry is under pressure, but companies like Haitian are performing steadily, with core products like soy sauce showing robust growth [9]