京沪高铁（601816）：跨线车持续助力增长，2024年业绩稳定上行

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, expecting a relative increase in stock price between 10% and 20% over the next six months [12]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 42.16 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 3.6%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 12.77 billion yuan, up 10.6% year-on-year [3][7]. - The performance of cross-line trains has been stable, contributing to revenue growth, while the main line train passenger volume decreased by 2.3% due to weak business travel [4]. - The company’s core costs remained stable, with total costs increasing slightly by 0.6% to 22.18 billion yuan in 2024, while management and financial expenses decreased [5][6]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The latest closing price is 5.96 yuan, with a total market capitalization of 292.7 billion yuan and a P/E ratio of 22.92 [2]. Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 10.22 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.2%, with net profit remaining stable at 2.96 billion yuan [3][6]. - The company expects revenues for 2025 to reach 43.92 billion yuan, with a projected growth rate of 6.9% [7][10]. Cost and Expense Management - The company’s overall costs were 22.18 billion yuan in 2024, with a slight increase of 0.6%, while management expenses rose marginally [5][11]. - Financial expenses decreased significantly by 1.57 percentage points to 4.24% due to debt repayment and declining interest rates [5]. Future Outlook - The company anticipates stable growth in personal travel, which will positively impact its network service business, and a gradual recovery in business travel is expected to improve the main line train operations [7].