JCET(SH:600584)2025-05-12 03:14Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for Changdian Technology with a target price of 43.00 CNY, based on an 18x one-year forward P/E ratio [1][3][22]. Core Views - The future growth outlook for Changdian Technology is resilient, supported by improved capacity utilization, integration of Shengdie Shanghai, and strong seasonal demand for Apple modules. The company is expected to achieve a revenue growth rate of 11% and a profit growth rate of 43% from 2025 to 2027 [1][6][11]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, Changdian Technology reported sales of 9.3 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 36% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 15%. Net profit was 203 million CNY, up 50% year-on-year but down 62% quarter-on-quarter [1][11][22]. - The revenue forecast for 2025 and 2026 has been raised by 9% and 11%, respectively, reflecting improved capacity utilization and revenue from the integration of Shengdie Shanghai. However, net profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 have been reduced by 37% and 11% due to increased depreciation and R&D expenses [2][11][19]. Revenue and Profit Growth - The report projects a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) for sales and profits of 11% and 43%, respectively, from 2025 to 2027. The target price remains unchanged at 43.0 CNY, reflecting a conservative approach given the early stage of overall demand recovery [2][11][22]. Investment Rationale - The long-term growth potential of Changdian Technology is supported by an expanding customer base, increased market share in advanced packaging, and improved production efficiency. The company plans to invest 8.5 billion CNY in new capacity and related technology development, particularly in automotive electronics and advanced packaging [6][11][22].