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农林牧渔行业周报第16期:猪价震荡运行,行业盈利可观-20250512
HUAXI Securities·2025-05-12 06:22

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Recommended" [3] Core Insights - The report highlights the significant role of agricultural technology innovation in modernizing agriculture, emphasizing the need for a structured and collaborative innovation system [11] - The commercialization of genetically modified crops is expected to accelerate, enhancing self-sufficiency in key varieties [11] - In the pig farming sector, the average price of pigs is currently fluctuating around 14.5-15 CNY/kg, with a slight decrease observed [12] - The report suggests that while short-term consumer demand is recovering, supply remains relatively loose, but prices may exceed expectations in the second half of 2025 due to slow recovery in production capacity [12] Summary by Sections 1. Weekly Insights - The Ministry of Agriculture and other departments have issued an implementation opinion to enhance the agricultural technology innovation system, focusing on eight key tasks [11] - The report identifies potential beneficiaries in the planting sector, including Beidahuang and Su-Kun Agricultural Development, and recommends leading seed companies like Longping High-Tech and Dabeinong [11] 2. Pig Farming - The average price of external three yuan pigs is 14.80 CNY/kg, with a week-on-week change of -0.05% [12] - As of March 2025, the number of breeding sows in China is 40.39 million, a decrease of 0.66% from the previous month [12] - The report forecasts that pig prices may exceed expectations in the latter half of 2025 due to slow recovery in production capacity [12] 3. Key Company Recommendations - Recommended companies in the pig farming sector include Jingji Zhino, Muyuan Foods, and Wens Foodstuff [12] - In the feed sector, Haida Group is highlighted, while companies in the animal health sector such as Jinhai Biological, Bio-Stock, and Placo are expected to benefit [12] 4. Market Performance - The agricultural sector index increased by 0.99% during the week, with notable gains in the aquaculture and planting sectors [14] - The report provides detailed tracking of key agricultural product prices, including corn, wheat, and soybeans, indicating price trends and changes [24][27][38]