建筑装饰行业跟踪周报：增量政策持续出台，关注开工端实物量落地-20250512

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the construction and decoration industry [1] Core Viewpoints - The construction and decoration sector is expected to benefit from ongoing incremental policies, with a focus on the actual implementation of construction projects [1] - The overseas contracting business in China is projected to achieve a revenue growth of 3.1% year-on-year in 2024, with new contract amounts increasing by 1.1%, reaching a historical high [2][11] - The report highlights the positive demand structure and investment opportunities arising from new business developments in specialized manufacturing, prefabricated buildings, energy conservation, and carbon reduction [2][11] Summary by Sections Industry Dynamics - Recent financial policies announced by the State Council aim to stabilize market expectations, including interest rate cuts and measures to support key sectors like technology innovation and real estate [13] - The construction PMI showed a decline in April, indicating weak project expectations, while infrastructure investment maintained a year-on-year growth rate of 5.8% in the first quarter [10][13] Overseas Expansion - The report emphasizes the potential for increased cooperation in the Belt and Road Initiative, particularly with Europe and ASEAN countries, following recent diplomatic visits by President Xi Jinping [2][11] - Companies such as China National Materials International and Shanghai Port Construction are recommended for their potential benefits from overseas engineering demand [2][11] Investment Opportunities - The report suggests focusing on companies with transformation layouts in high-demand sectors, such as prefabricated buildings and semiconductor clean rooms, with specific recommendations for Honglu Steel Structure and Asia Xiang Integration [2][11] - Infrastructure leaders and local state-owned enterprises are highlighted as having opportunities for valuation recovery due to their stable performance [10][11]