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七一二:军用无线通信核心供应商,产品全平台多领域覆盖助力军队信息化建设-20250512

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 24.05 CNY, based on a current price of 19.99 CNY [7]. Core Insights - The company is a core supplier of military communication products and is expected to benefit from a new procurement cycle driven by the military's informationization efforts and the upcoming "15th Five-Year Plan" [4][41]. - The company has faced a significant decline in revenue and net profit in 2024, primarily due to industry cyclical adjustments and a decrease in new orders [3][23]. - The military communication sector is anticipated to experience a recovery in orders, which could lead to a reversal in the company's performance [4][24]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company, established in 1936, is a major electronic enterprise focused on military and civilian wireless communication, as well as environmental monitoring [2][14]. - It was listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange in 2018 and is controlled by the Tianjin State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission [2][14]. Market Opportunities - The "14th Five-Year Plan" is nearing its end, and the company is expected to release previously delayed orders, which, combined with the new equipment from the "15th Five-Year Plan," may lead to a new inventory cycle in the military information sector [3][24]. - The demand for military and civilian communication products is projected to increase due to the modernization of military capabilities and the expansion of transportation infrastructure [4][42]. Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported a revenue of 2.16 billion CNY, a decrease of 34.09% year-on-year, and a net loss of 248.82 million CNY, a decline of 156.58% [3][6]. - The company’s revenue and net profit showed an upward trend from 2019 to 2022, but faced challenges in 2024 due to market conditions [3][24]. Profitability Forecast - The report forecasts a recovery in revenue growth from 2025 onwards, with expected growth rates of 30%, 25%, and 20% for the years 2025 to 2027 [46][47]. - The company is projected to maintain a relatively high gross margin and return on equity (ROE) despite recent declines [28][29]. R&D and Competitive Advantage - The company emphasizes R&D, with R&D expenses accounting for 29.27% of revenue in 2024, reflecting its commitment to innovation and maintaining a competitive edge [33][34]. - It holds numerous patents and has been involved in the development of various wireless communication standards, enhancing its industry influence [33][34].