SIA(600009) China Post Securities·2025-05-12 07:20Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, expecting a relative increase in stock price of over 20% compared to the benchmark index within six months [6][13]. Core Views - The company has shown a recovery in performance with a significant increase in both revenue and net profit for 2024, with revenue reaching 12.0% growth year-on-year and net profit increasing by 107.1% [3][4]. - The growth in international passenger traffic continues, contributing to the recovery of both aviation and non-aviation revenues [4][5]. - The company is expected to maintain a positive growth trajectory in net profit for the years 2025 to 2027, with projections of 24.4 billion, 29.4 billion, and 33.6 billion respectively [6]. Company Overview - The latest closing price of the company's stock is 32.08 yuan, with a total market capitalization of 798 billion yuan and a circulating market value of 616 billion yuan [2]. - The company has a total share capital of 2.488 billion shares, with 1.919 billion shares in circulation [2]. - The largest shareholder is Shanghai Airport (Group) Co., Ltd. [2]. Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported operating revenue of 12.37 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 12.0%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.93 billion yuan, up 107.1% [3][9]. - The first quarter of 2025 saw operating revenue of 3.17 billion yuan, reflecting a 4.7% year-on-year growth, with net profit reaching 519 million yuan, a 34.5% increase [3][5]. - The company’s operating costs for 2024 were 9.656 billion yuan, a 4.7% increase year-on-year, while the cost structure remained stable [4][12]. Revenue Breakdown - The aviation revenue for 2024 was 5.56 billion yuan, up 27.1% year-on-year, driven by a significant increase in passenger throughput [4]. - Non-aviation revenue was impacted by a decrease in commercial transfer rights and duty-free rental income, with commercial catering revenue declining by 15.5% to 2.055 billion yuan [4][9]. - Logistics business revenue increased by 13.3% to 1.68 billion yuan due to higher cargo station throughput [4].