Yealink(SZ:300628)2025-05-12 07:45Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company [4][9]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of RMB 5.62 billion for 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 29.28%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of RMB 2.65 billion, up 31.72% year-on-year [9]. - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of RMB 1.21 billion, a year-on-year increase of 3.57%, but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 20.27% [9]. - The revenue growth in Q1 2025 fell short of expectations due to tariff adjustments and increased overseas warehouse shipments affecting delivery timelines [9]. - The updated profit forecast for 2025-2027 projects net profits of RMB 2.90 billion, RMB 3.24 billion, and RMB 3.58 billion, respectively, with corresponding EPS of RMB 2.30, RMB 2.56, and RMB 2.83 [9]. - The target price is set at RMB 45.91, based on a 20x PE for 2025, reflecting a slight decrease of 2% from previous estimates [9]. Financial Summary - The company’s revenue is projected to grow from RMB 5.62 billion in 2024 to RMB 7.72 billion by 2027, with annual growth rates of 29.3%, 11.7%, 11.3%, and 10.5% respectively [3]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to increase from RMB 2.65 billion in 2024 to RMB 3.58 billion in 2027, with growth rates of 31.7%, 9.6%, 11.6%, and 10.4% respectively [3]. - The company’s return on equity (ROE) is projected to rise from 29.6% in 2024 to 36.2% in 2027 [3]. Product Performance - Revenue from desktop communication terminals reached RMB 3.08 billion, up 21.13% year-on-year, with a gross profit margin of 67.55% [9]. - Conference products generated RMB 1.99 billion in revenue, a 36.21% increase year-on-year, with a gross profit margin of 65.67% [9]. - Cloud office terminals saw revenue growth of 62.98%, totaling RMB 0.53 billion [9]. - The contribution of second and third growth curves to total revenue increased from 41.15% to 44.89% [9]. Shareholder Returns - The company distributed total cash dividends of approximately RMB 2.40 billion in 2024, with a payout ratio of 90.59% [9].