Dongguan Securities·2025-05-12 09:21Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the public utility sector [1] Core Insights - The operating profit and profitability of the public utility sector have improved, with Q1 2025 revenue at 551.23 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 4.04%, while net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 6.11% to 54.59 billion yuan [2][21] - The coal-fired power sector benefited from a decline in thermal coal prices, with Q1 2025 revenue at 307.92 billion yuan, down 7.67%, but net profit rose by 8.58% to 23.04 billion yuan [2][45] - The hydropower sector saw revenue increase by 8.66% to 41.80 billion yuan in Q1 2025, with net profit growing by 28.07% to 11.34 billion yuan, driven by increased hydropower generation [2][70] - The nuclear power sector experienced revenue growth of 8.42% to 40.30 billion yuan in Q1 2025, although profit performance varied among companies [2][28] - The investment strategy suggests maintaining an overweight rating for the sector, focusing on companies like Huadian International and Guodian Power in the coal power segment, and Xintian Gas and Xin'ao in the gas sector [2] Summary by Sections 1. Public Utility Sector Performance - The public utility sector includes 133 listed companies, with 102 in the power sector and 31 in the gas sector. In 2024, the sector's revenue was 23,085.51 billion yuan, a decrease of 1.24%, while net profit increased by 5.38% to 1,848.50 billion yuan [10] 2. Subsector Performance 2.1 Coal Power - The coal power sector's revenue in 2024 was 13,060.52 billion yuan, down 1.11%, with net profit rising by 24.06% to 676.91 billion yuan, benefiting from lower coal prices [28][32] 2.2 Hydropower - In 2024, hydropower revenue was 1,947.67 billion yuan, up 8.99%, with net profit increasing by 17.55% to 563.21 billion yuan, attributed to higher hydropower generation [62] 2.3 New Energy - In 2024, solar power generation was 419.08 billion kWh, up 28.2%, while wind power generation was 936.05 billion kWh, up 11.1% [79] 2.4 Nuclear Power - The nuclear power sector's revenue in Q1 2025 was 40.30 billion yuan, an increase of 8.42%, with varying profit performances among companies [2][28] 2.5 Gas - The gas sector's performance was impacted by rising costs, with specific companies recommended for investment [2] 3. Investment Strategy - The report recommends an overweight rating for the public utility sector, highlighting potential growth in coal and gas companies due to favorable market conditions [2]