CMS·2025-05-12 13:37Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Add" [3] Core Views - The company reported a strong performance in Q1 2025, with revenue of 4.81 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 8.5%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.4 billion yuan, up 6.5% year-on-year [1][7] - The growth in container throughput exceeded expectations, with a total cargo throughput of 177.06 million tons in Q1 2025, representing a 2.9% year-on-year increase, and container throughput of 8.22 million TEUs, up 7.2% year-on-year [7] - The company benefits from a strong regional advantage and a high proportion of profitable segments, particularly in container and liquid bulk cargo [7] Financial Data and Valuation - Total revenue projections for the company are as follows: 18.173 billion yuan in 2023, 18.941 billion yuan in 2024, and 19.6 billion yuan in 2025E, with a growth rate of -6%, 4%, and 3% respectively [2][14] - The projected net profit attributable to shareholders is 4.923 billion yuan in 2023, 5.235 billion yuan in 2024, and 5.513 billion yuan in 2025E, with growth rates of 9%, 6%, and 5% respectively [2][14] - The company’s PE ratio is projected to decrease from 11.9 in 2023 to 10.6 in 2025E, indicating a potential for valuation re-rating [2][14] Performance Metrics - The company achieved a gross profit margin of 38.6% in Q1 2025, an increase of 0.4 percentage points year-on-year [7] - The return on equity (ROE) is reported at 12.1%, which is among the highest in the industry [3][7] - The company maintains a low debt ratio of 26.0%, indicating strong financial health [3] Future Outlook - The company is expected to continue its growth trajectory, with net profits projected to reach 5.513 billion yuan in 2025, 5.745 billion yuan in 2026, and 5.975 billion yuan in 2027 [7] - The dividend payout ratio is expected to be 40%, with corresponding dividend yields of 3.8% for A-shares and 6.1% for H-shares in 2025 [7]