Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Outperform the Market" [3][13] Core Insights - The report highlights a temporary pause in the China-US trade conflict, which is expected to benefit the export sector, particularly in the light industry manufacturing sector [1][4] - The report indicates that in April, China's export value increased by 8.1% year-on-year in USD terms, while exports to the US decreased by over 20%. However, exports to ASEAN and the EU showed significant growth, with increases of 20.8% and 8.3% respectively [4] - The first quarter of 2025 saw a year-on-year revenue growth of approximately 15.9% and a net profit growth of about 17% for major companies in the light industry export chain [4] Summary by Sections Trade Dynamics - The report discusses the recent progress in China-US trade negotiations, resulting in a reduction of incremental tariffs to 30% for the US and 10% for China [4] - The report notes that the export chain sector is expected to maintain strong performance due to the effects of export grabbing and transshipment amid the trade conflict [4] Company Performance - Major companies in the light industry export chain are reported to have robust overseas production capacity and are well-positioned to handle changes in tariff policies [4] - The report suggests that companies such as Jianlin Home, Henglin Shares, and Hars are recommended for attention due to their undervalued status and potential for valuation recovery [4] Investment Recommendations - The report emphasizes that the export chain remains a sub-sector with high short-term performance certainty, with expectations for accelerated export grabbing and transshipment in 2025 [4] - Companies with strong overseas production layouts and good profitability, such as Xiangxin Home and Gongchuang Lawn, are highlighted as potential investment opportunities [4]
中美贸易冲突暂缓,布局优质低估出口
Huafu Securities·2025-05-12 13:36