ASK PHARM(SZ:002755) Tianfeng Securities·2025-05-13 00:35Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price of 29.35 CNY per share, based on the current price of 17.21 CNY [5]. Core Insights - The company focuses on four therapeutic areas: digestion, oncology, resistant infections, and chronic diseases. As of September 2024, it has 32 products that have passed consistency evaluation, with 13 products winning national procurement bids. Future growth is expected from innovative products such as cell factor therapies and CLDN18.2 and EGFR targeting drugs [1][14]. - The SmartKine platform, developed by the company, aims to address the poor druggability of cytokine-based therapies through engineering modifications, allowing selective activation of the immune system to target tumor cells while minimizing systemic toxicity [2][31]. - ASKB589 is positioned to be the first domestically marketed CLDN18.2 monoclonal antibody, showing significant tumor response rates in clinical trials. The company has a strong pipeline with over 20 CLDN18.2-targeting drugs in development [3][30]. - The company has successfully launched its innovative drug, Liratinib, for both first-line and second-line treatment of EGFR-mutant NSCLC, marking a significant milestone in its transformation [3][4]. Summary by Sections Strategic Transformation - The company has a strong foundation and is a leader in the digestive drug sector. It has adapted to national procurement policies, optimizing its revenue structure and achieving profitability after two years of losses. In 2024, total revenue reached 1.778 billion CNY, a 23.15% increase, with a net profit of 160.29 million CNY, up 207.92% [14][20]. - The revenue from oncology products grew to 631 million CNY, accounting for 35.51% of total revenue, while the digestive segment's contribution decreased significantly from 67.84% in 2020 to 15.18% in 2024 [24][20]. Innovation and R&D - The company has a robust R&D pipeline with 42 projects, including 9 key innovative drugs. It has maintained leading industry investment levels in R&D, with expenditures of 4.14 billion CNY in 2021, 7.23 billion CNY in 2022, and 5.94 billion CNY in 2023 [28][29]. - The SmartKine platform is a significant innovation, with two lead candidates, ASKG315 and ASKG915, currently in clinical trials, aiming to enhance the safety and efficacy of cytokine therapies [2][31]. Financial Forecast and Market Valuation - The company forecasts revenues of 1.918 billion CNY, 2.169 billion CNY, and 2.935 billion CNY for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with growth rates of 7.92%, 13.07%, and 35.30% [4][5]. - The estimated net profit for the same years is projected to be 190 million CNY, 289 million CNY, and 530 million CNY, indicating a strong upward trend in profitability [4][5].