Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints of the Report Through macro - fundamental and technical analysis (including the use of the golden ratio line, horizontal line, and moving average), the report predicts the trend of today's (May 13, 2025) futures main contracts. It is expected that stock index futures will oscillate with a strong bias, while gold, silver, copper, coking coal, glass, and soda ash futures will oscillate with a weak bias. Rebar, iron ore, aluminum, tin, hot - rolled coil, soybean meal, cotton, and container shipping index (European line) futures will oscillate with a strong bias. Ten - year and thirty - year treasury bond futures will likely oscillate with a weak bias [2]. Summary by Related Catalogs 1. Macro News and Trading Tips - The joint statement of the China - US economic and trade high - level talks was released. Both sides agreed to significantly reduce bilateral tariff levels. The US cancelled 91% of the additional tariffs, and China cancelled 91% of the counter - tariffs accordingly. The US suspended the implementation of 24% of the "reciprocal tariffs", and China also suspended the implementation of 24% of the counter - tariffs. China also suspended or cancelled non - tariff counter - measures against the US. Both sides will establish a mechanism to continue consultations on economic and trade relations [7]. - China launched a special campaign to combat the smuggling of strategic minerals for export and will organize a series of actions in the near future. The meeting on strengthening the full - chain control of strategic mineral exports pointed out that export control of strategic minerals is crucial for national security and development interests [7]. - The Ministry of Commerce will work with relevant departments to provide more support for foreign - trade enterprises, help them expand markets, and promote the stable development of foreign trade [8]. - The State Council Information Office released China's first white paper on national security, demonstrating China's determination to safeguard national interests [8]. - The central bank and other departments issued the "30 Measures for Nansha Finance" to strengthen financial support for the construction of Nansha [8]. - US President Trump signed an executive order requiring pharmaceutical manufacturers to lower drug prices, but analysts believe it is difficult to implement [8]. - The Fed's governor Kugler believes that Trump's tariff policy may push up inflation and drag down economic growth. The European Central Bank is cautious about future interest - rate actions due to policy uncertainty [9]. - Japanese Prime Minister Ishiba Shigeru stated that Japan will not accept a preliminary trade agreement without automobile tariffs. The Japanese government is ready to take additional stimulus measures [9]. - Goldman Sachs adjusted the expected time of the Fed's next interest - rate cut to December and raised the forecast of the US economic growth rate in Q4 2025 [9]. 2. Commodity Futures Information - Most domestic commodity futures closed higher at night. Energy and chemical products generally rose, with styrene up 3.05%, butadiene rubber up 2.69%, etc. Some agricultural products and basic metals also had different trends [11]. - On May 12, international oil prices strengthened, with US crude oil up 1.54% and Brent crude up 1.63%. International precious - metal futures generally closed lower, and London's basic metals showed mixed trends. Chicago's agricultural - product futures also had different closing results [12]. - The National Food and Strategic Reserves Administration announced that the purchase of autumn grain in 2024 was completed, with a total purchase of 3.45 billion tons [13]. 3. Futures Market Analysis and Forecast Stock Index Futures - On May 12, the main contracts of stock index futures, such as IF2506, IH2506, IC2506, and IM2506, generally opened slightly higher, oscillated upward, and closed higher. On May 13, it is expected that stock index futures will oscillate with a strong bias, with specific resistance and support levels provided [13][19]. Treasury Bond Futures - On May 12, the main contracts of ten - year and thirty - year treasury bond futures opened lower, oscillated downward, and closed lower. On May 13, they are expected to oscillate with a weak bias and test support levels [38][43]. Gold Futures - On May 12, the main contract of gold futures opened slightly higher, oscillated downward, and closed lower. From May 6 to May 12, the continuous main contract of domestic gold futures rebounded but was blocked. On May 13, it is expected to oscillate with a weak bias and test support levels [43]. Silver Futures - On May 12, the main contract of silver futures opened slightly higher, oscillated upward, and closed higher. On May 13, the new main contract AG2508 is expected to oscillate with a weak bias and test support levels [51]. Copper Futures - On May 12, the main contract of copper futures opened slightly higher, oscillated upward, and closed higher. On May 13, it is expected to oscillate with a weak bias and test support levels [55]. Aluminum Futures - On May 12, the main contract of aluminum futures opened slightly higher, oscillated upward, and closed higher. On May 13, it is expected to oscillate with a strong bias, with specific resistance and support levels provided [59]. Alumina Futures - On May 12, the main contract of alumina futures opened slightly lower, oscillated upward, and closed higher. On May 13, it is expected to oscillate and consolidate, with specific resistance and support levels provided [63]. Zinc Futures - On May 12, the main contract of zinc futures opened slightly higher, oscillated upward, and closed higher. On May 13, it is expected to oscillate with a weak bias and test support levels [67]. Nickel Futures - On May 12, the main contract of nickel futures opened slightly higher, oscillated upward, and closed higher. On May 13, it is expected to oscillate with a weak bias and test support levels [75]. Tin Futures - On May 12, the main contract of tin futures opened slightly higher, oscillated upward, and closed higher. On May 13, it is expected to oscillate with a strong bias and attack resistance levels [80]. Rebar Futures - On May 12, the main contract of rebar futures opened slightly higher, oscillated upward, and closed higher. On May 13, it is expected to oscillate with a strong bias, with specific resistance and support levels provided [85]. Hot - Rolled Coil Futures - On May 12, the main contract of hot - rolled coil futures opened slightly higher, oscillated upward, and closed higher. On May 13, it is expected to oscillate with a strong bias, with specific resistance and support levels provided [89]. Iron Ore Futures - On May 12, the main contract of iron ore futures opened slightly higher, oscillated upward, and closed higher. On May 13, it is expected to oscillate with a strong bias, with specific resistance and support levels provided [92]. Coking Coal Futures - On May 12, the main contract of coking coal futures opened slightly lower, oscillated upward, and closed higher. On May 13, it is expected to oscillate with a weak bias and test support levels [96]. Glass Futures - On May 12, the main contract of glass futures opened flat, oscillated upward, and closed with a slight decline. On May 13, it is expected to oscillate with a weak bias and test support levels [98]. Soda Ash Futures - On May 12, the main contract of soda ash futures opened slightly lower, oscillated upward, and closed higher. On May 13, it is expected to oscillate with a weak bias and test support levels [101]. Soybean Meal Futures - On May 12, the main contract of soybean meal futures opened slightly higher, oscillated upward, and closed with a slight decline. On May 13, it is expected to oscillate with a strong bias and attack resistance levels [103]. Cotton Futures - On May 12, the main contract of cotton futures opened slightly lower, oscillated upward, and closed higher. On May 13, it is expected to oscillate with a strong bias and accumulate strength to attack resistance levels [104]. Container Shipping Index (European Line) Futures - On May 12, the main contract of the container shipping index (European line) futures opened with a gap up, oscillated upward, and closed at the daily limit. On May 13, it is expected to oscillate widely with a strong bias, with specific resistance and support levels provided [107].
股指期货将震荡偏强,黄金、白银、铜、焦煤、玻璃期货将偏弱震荡,螺纹钢、铁矿石、豆粕、棉花期货将偏强震荡
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo·2025-05-13 07:01