中美关税合理化，科技硬件估值修复

Investment Rating - The report provides an overall positive outlook for the technology hardware sector, indicating a recovery in valuations due to tariff easing between China and the U.S. [1] Core Insights - The easing of tariffs is expected to stabilize costs for key components in the consumer electronics supply chain, particularly benefiting companies in the Apple supply chain [2][8] - The semiconductor sector will experience short-term cost relief, but domestic replacements in China are anticipated to grow, impacting market shares of U.S. companies like Texas Instruments and Intel in the long run [2][9] - Data center hardware costs are projected to decrease, enhancing profit margins for companies involved in AI server production and data center construction [2][11] - The tariff policy is moving towards a more rational level, reducing the risk of further escalation, although long-term uncertainties remain [2][12] Consumer Electronics - Supply chain pressures are expected to ease, with most products under a 90-day tariff exemption, leading to a stabilization of costs for iPhone and other hardware components [2][8] - Companies such as Sunny Optical, Q Tech, and Luxshare are likely to see margins recover to pre-tariff levels, with stable order flows from assemblers [2][8] Semiconductors - U.S. semiconductor companies will benefit from reduced export costs due to tariff cuts, particularly Texas Instruments and Analog Devices, which have significant sales in China [2][9] - Despite short-term benefits, the market share of U.S. chipmakers is expected to decline as domestic Chinese manufacturers continue to grow [2][10] Data Centers - The reduction in tariffs on GPU servers and optical modules will lower BOM costs, positively impacting profit margins for AI server manufacturers [2][11] - The overall construction costs for data centers in the U.S. are expected to decrease, potentially accelerating the construction timeline [2][11] Policy Outlook - The report suggests that tariff policies are trending towards rationalization, with ongoing negotiations expected to address various trade issues [2][12] - Future discussions may include topics such as fentanyl control and export restrictions on advanced technologies [2][12]