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恒帅股份(300969):双业务阶段性承压,ADAS清洗及电机业务待放量
300969HMC(300969) Huaan Securities·2025-05-13 10:11

Investment Rating - Investment Rating: Buy (Maintain) [1] Core Views - The company's revenue and profit are under pressure due to challenges in both business segments, with traditional cleaning facing intensified competition and the motor segment experiencing a short-term decline. The company has also paused supply to some overdue customers due to accounts receivable risk and payment term management considerations [5][7] - The Q1 2025 financial results show a revenue of 203 million yuan, down 16.04% year-on-year and 21.44% quarter-on-quarter, with a net profit of 42 million yuan, down 35.48% year-on-year and 16.71% quarter-on-quarter [4][5] - The company is focusing on expanding its product offerings in the cleaning and motor sectors, with new products expected to drive profitability in the long term. The proactive sensing cleaning products are anticipated to enhance market share and revenue growth [6][8] Summary by Sections Business Performance - The revenue decline is primarily attributed to the overall operating environment and fluctuations in downstream customer demand, particularly in the traditional cleaning business. The motor segment has also seen a short-term decline [5] - The gross margin for Q1 was 32.22%, a decrease of 4.57 percentage points year-on-year and 0.28 percentage points quarter-on-quarter, influenced by the pressure on traditional cleaning system products [5][10] Financial Forecast - Revenue projections for 2025 to 2027 are estimated at 1.101 billion yuan, 1.337 billion yuan, and 1.702 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding net profits of 239 million yuan, 290 million yuan, and 385 million yuan [7][10] - The company is expected to maintain a price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) of 27.76x, 22.84x, and 17.25x for the years 2025 to 2027 [7][10] Product Development - The traditional cleaning business faces challenges, while proactive sensing cleaning is expected to open new opportunities. The company plans to expand its partnerships with automotive manufacturers and enhance its global production layout [8] - The motor business is leveraging its core technologies to expand into various electric motor categories, including high-torque harmonic brushless motors and other automotive applications [8]