YUSSEN GROUP(SZ:002986) Huaxin Securities·2025-05-13 11:33Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" investment rating for the company [9] Core Views - The company's revenue growth in 2024 was driven by capacity expansion and increased sales volume, with total operating income reaching 7.701 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 16.51%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 32.34% to 307 million yuan [1][2] - The company is facing challenges due to a decline in prices for key products such as MTBE and is adapting its production capacity to optimize product structure and mitigate risks associated with price declines [2][8] - The operating cash flow has come under pressure, with a net cash flow of 154 million yuan, down 77.14% year-on-year, primarily due to reduced net profit [3] Summary by Sections Revenue and Profitability - In 2024, the company achieved total operating income of 77.01 billion yuan, up 16.51% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 3.07 billion yuan, down 32.34% [1][11] - The fourth quarter of 2024 saw a single-quarter operating income of 20.10 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.43% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 2.43% [1] Production Capacity and Market Conditions - The company’s main products, including isooctane, MTBE, and succinic anhydride, had capacity utilization rates of 97.00%, 106.36%, and 106.42% respectively, indicating strong production capabilities [2] - The domestic BDO industry is facing structural oversupply, with existing capacity at 4.801 million tons per year and over 4 million tons of new capacity planned for the next five years [4][8] Cost Management and Operational Efficiency - The company has improved its cost control, with sales, management, financial, and R&D expense ratios decreasing year-on-year [3] - The company has achieved a reduction in operating expenses, contributing to enhanced operational efficiency [3] Future Outlook - The company forecasts net profits of 466 million yuan, 537 million yuan, and 656 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 8.8, 7.7, and 6.3 [9][11] - The company is focusing on upgrading its product structure and developing high-value-added products to counteract the impact of declining traditional markets [8]