YouFa(601686) ZHONGTAI SECURITIES·2025-05-13 12:52Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, expecting a relative increase of over 15% in stock price compared to the benchmark index within the next 6 to 12 months [3][14]. Core Views - The company reported a significant year-on-year increase in net profit for Q1 2025, achieving 1.33 billion yuan, which represents a 9680.17% increase, although it saw a quarter-on-quarter decline of 59.10% [3][4]. - The company is the only manufacturer in the industry capable of producing 20 million tons of welded steel pipes, with a strong brand presence and production bases across multiple regions in China [5]. - The overseas sales revenue surged by 724.07% in 2024, indicating a robust expansion strategy in international markets, particularly in Southeast Asia and the Middle East [5]. Financial Performance Summary - For 2023A, the company achieved a revenue of 60,918 million yuan, with a projected revenue of 58,111 million yuan for 2025E, reflecting a growth rate of 6% [3]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to be 607 million yuan in 2025E, with a significant growth rate of 43% compared to the previous year [3]. - The gross margin for Q1 2025 was reported at 3.32%, showing a year-on-year increase of 1.02 percentage points [5]. Future Projections - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 6.07 billion yuan, 7.09 billion yuan, and 8.07 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 14, 12, and 10 [6]. - The report anticipates a gradual recovery in profitability per ton of welded steel pipes, contributing to the overall financial performance improvement [6].