资金透视：资金回流意愿升温

Core Insights - The willingness of incremental capital to flow into the market has shown signs of recovery, with trading funds experiencing a net inflow for the first time in six weeks, indicating a shift in sentiment towards growth sectors [1][4] - Foreign capital has also turned to net inflow, supported by easing trade tensions, with emerging market allocation remaining below 40% since 2018 [1][5] - Recent financial policies are expected to enhance the resilience of the capital market and guide funds towards benchmark allocations, particularly in sectors like banking, utilities, and oil and petrochemicals [1][6] Group 1: Trading Capital Recovery - Trading capital sentiment has improved, with net inflows of financing capital amounting to 167 billion, marking a recovery in trading activity [4][20] - The allocation of funds has increased towards growth sectors such as electronics, computers, machinery, and pharmaceuticals [4][53] - Retail investors saw a net outflow of 41 billion, but the outflow has narrowed compared to previous weeks [7][12] Group 2: Foreign Capital Inflows - For the period from April 30 to May 7, foreign capital saw a net inflow of 15.8 billion, primarily driven by passive allocation funds [5][60] - Despite the recent inflow, foreign capital allocation in A-shares remains low, with emerging market funds holding less than 40% of A-shares [5][66] - The average daily trading volume of northbound funds has slightly increased to 160.4 billion [60][61] Group 3: Fund Allocation Trends - The recent regulatory framework aims to guide funds towards benchmark allocations, particularly benefiting underweighted sectors like state-owned banks and financial services [6][32] - The issuance of new equity funds has decreased, with only 61 billion shares launched last week [32][43] - The average equity allocation of long-term insurance funds has slightly decreased, indicating a cautious approach to market exposure [56][57] Group 4: ETF and Private Fund Activity - Last week, stock ETFs experienced a net outflow of 32.4 billion, with significant redemptions in broad-based ETFs [43][52] - Private funds have shown increased interest in sectors like pharmaceuticals and electronics, with a notable rise in research activity [53][54] - The overall sentiment in the ETF market reflects a preference for sectors such as technology and public services, which have seen net inflows [43][49]