ZHONGTAI SECURITIES·2025-05-13 13:25Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the industry [2] Core Insights - Precious metals and industrial metals have shown strong performance, while energy metals are under pressure [1] - The overall performance of the non-ferrous metal sector in 2024 saw a 32% increase, lagging behind the CSI 300 index by 115 percentage points [14] - In Q1 2025, the non-ferrous metal sector rose by 120%, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 132 percentage points, with precious metals increasing by 255% and industrial metals by 133% [14] Summary by Sections Market Overview - The total market capitalization of the industry is approximately 2,976.948 billion yuan, with a circulating market value of about 2,794.166 billion yuan [2] Precious Metals - In 2024, the average price of gold was 5,594 yuan per gram, a year-on-year increase of 242%, leading to a total revenue of 2,820 billion yuan and a net profit of 1,497.2 billion yuan, reflecting a 52% increase [18] - In Q1 2025, the average gold price reached 6,722 yuan per gram, up 37% year-on-year, with revenue of 818 billion yuan and a net profit of 473.1 billion yuan, marking a 47% increase [30] Copper - The average copper price in 2024 was 75,000 yuan per ton, a 103% increase year-on-year, with total revenue of 14,452 billion yuan and a net profit of 754.81 billion yuan, a 40% increase [34] - In Q1 2025, the copper price was 77,000 yuan per ton, up 11.4% year-on-year, with revenue of 3,357 billion yuan and a net profit of 233 billion yuan, a 50% increase [48] Aluminum - In 2024, the aluminum sector saw an average price of 20,000 yuan per ton, a 7.2% increase year-on-year, with total revenue of 4,207 billion yuan and a net profit of 410.28 billion yuan, a 27% increase [57] - In Q1 2025, the average aluminum price was 21,000 yuan per ton, with revenue of 1,032 billion yuan and a net profit of 109.75 billion yuan, a 29% increase [72] Lithium - The lithium sector faced significant challenges in 2024, with the average price of battery-grade lithium carbonate dropping by 65.1% year-on-year, leading to a revenue decline of 48% [77] - In Q1 2025, the lithium sector showed signs of recovery, with revenue of 126 billion yuan and a net profit of 464 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 159% [91] Rare Earth Permanent Magnets - In 2024, the rare earth sector experienced a decline, with total revenue of 600 billion yuan and a net profit of 121.1 billion yuan, a 67% decrease [101] - In Q1 2025, the sector showed recovery with revenue of 145 billion yuan and a net profit of 867 million yuan, a 221% increase year-on-year [130] Institutional Holdings - In Q1 2025, the allocation ratio for the non-ferrous metal sector was 434%, with significant increases in allocations for precious and industrial metals [141]