GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES·2025-05-14 00:09Group 1: Macro Insights - The first round of China-US trade talks has made substantial progress, exceeding market expectations, which will inject more certainty and stability into the global economy, further highlighting the irreplaceability of Chinese manufacturing and enhancing the investment value of Chinese assets [3] - The latest comprehensive tariff rate imposed by the US on China has decreased to 42.5%, which is expected to reduce China's exports by 4.0-5.2 percentage points and GDP by 0.5-0.7 percentage points, indicating significant downward pressure on China's economy [3] - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring three key areas regarding China-US negotiations: potential fluctuations in tariffs, the main topics of negotiation, and the progress of negotiations between the US and other countries that may involve China [3] Group 2: Convertible Bonds - The report indicates that balanced convertible bonds have a high risk premium and are suitable for long-term allocation, while timing strategies have not significantly improved performance [4] - Conversely, equity-linked convertible bonds have a low risk premium but high timing value, with strategies based on valuation improving risk-adjusted returns [4] Group 3: Communication Industry - The company focuses on the optical communication industry, with its main business covering optical chips and devices, benefiting from the rapid development of AI and increasing demand from data centers [5] - The projected net profits for the company are estimated at 382 million, 539 million, and 713 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 35, 25, and 19 [5] Group 4: Electronics Industry - The company is a leader in video codec technology and is expanding into new fields such as automotive electronics and edge AI, with a comprehensive product plan for AI SoC series [6] - Expected revenues for the company are projected to be 2.49 billion, 3.07 billion, and 3.63 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, with net profits of 140 million, 230 million, and 310 million yuan, respectively [6] Group 5: Automotive Industry - The company reported a revenue of 3.6 billion yuan in 2024, a decrease of 8% year-on-year, while Q1 2025 revenue increased by 12% year-on-year, driven by growth in domestic new energy vehicle sales [8] - The company has maintained a competitive edge through continuous investment in technology and R&D, enhancing its production capabilities and expanding its product offerings [9][10]