Western Mining(SH:601168) Tai Ping Yang·2025-05-14 05:45Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, Western Mining (601168) [1][4]. Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 16.542 billion yuan in Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 50.74% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 24.37%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 808 million yuan, up 9.61% year-on-year and 305.62% quarter-on-quarter [4][5]. - The production of key mineral products has shown significant year-on-year growth, with copper, zinc, lead, and molybdenum production increasing by 14.35%, 18.17%, 38.38%, and 43.64% respectively [5]. - The company is actively advancing resource expansion and production capacity, with the Yulong Phase III project expected to enhance copper production [6]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 16.542 billion yuan, a 50.74% increase year-on-year and a 24.37% increase quarter-on-quarter. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 808 million yuan, reflecting a 9.61% year-on-year increase and a 305.62% quarter-on-quarter increase [4][5]. - The company’s gross margin and net profit margin for Q1 2025 were 17.40% and 9.38%, respectively, with a slight decrease compared to the previous year [7]. Production and Capacity - The company’s mineral production for Q1 2025 included copper at 44,100 tons, zinc at 30,000 tons, lead at 16,700 tons, and molybdenum at 1,200 tons, with respective year-on-year increases of 14.35%, 18.17%, 38.38%, and 43.64% [5]. - The smelting production for copper, zinc, and lead also saw significant increases, with copper smelting up 54.83% year-on-year [5]. Market Conditions - Prices for copper, zinc, and lead have increased year-on-year, with copper averaging 77,400 yuan/ton, a 12% increase [7]. - The company maintains a high self-sufficiency rate for raw materials, which mitigates the impact of declining processing fees in the smelting segment [7]. Future Outlook - The company forecasts net profits attributable to shareholders of 3.558 billion yuan, 3.814 billion yuan, and 4.134 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [8]. - The report anticipates a revenue growth rate of 23.73% for 2025, followed by more modest growth in subsequent years [8].