MGI(SH:688114) ZHESHANG SECURITIES·2025-05-14 07:45Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" [7] Core Views - The company is expected to see revenue growth driven by significant increases in installed capacity and ongoing domestic substitution, alongside international expansion opportunities [1][2] - The company achieved a revenue of 3.013 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 3.48%, with a notable revenue of 1.143 billion yuan in Q4, reflecting a 61.64% year-on-year growth [1] - The company anticipates a revenue of 4.488 billion yuan in 2025, with projected growth rates of 15.78%, 18.10%, and 16.75% for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [5] Revenue and Profitability - In 2024, the company's gene sequencing business generated revenue of 2.348 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.47%, with instrument revenue at 960 million yuan (up 6.92%) and reagent revenue at 1.373 billion yuan (up 1.43%) [2] - The company installed nearly 1,270 new units in 2024, marking a historical high and a 49% increase from the previous year [2] - The company reported a net profit of -600.83 million yuan in 2024, with expectations of a gradual return to profitability by 2027 [5][12] Regional Performance - In 2024, revenue from the China region was 1.61 billion yuan, up 11% year-on-year, while the Asia-Pacific region saw a decline of 30% to 230 million yuan [3] - The Americas region achieved revenue of 170 million yuan, reflecting an 8% year-on-year growth, indicating strong performance in certain markets despite challenges in others [3] Research and Development - The company maintained high R&D investment of 746 million yuan in 2024, representing 24.8% of revenue, aimed at enhancing product competitiveness [4] - The company is focusing on new product launches, including the portable low-throughput sequencer E25 and the desktop mid-throughput sequencer G99, which are expected to drive market share growth [4] Future Outlook - The company forecasts revenues of 3.488 billion yuan in 2025, with a net profit of -272 million yuan, indicating a path towards recovery and growth [5][12] - The ongoing development of spatial sequencing and single-molecule sequencing technologies is expected to open new market opportunities [4]