利多情绪下能化供应扰动消息频出，显然有多头资金借势推涨

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content Core Viewpoints of the Report - After the release of the China-US negotiation joint statement, short - term bullish factors have landed, and the market is still in an emotional state. Although 50% of the tariffs on China are still high, it has restarted a new trade situation. Most risk assets have basically returned to the level before April 2, 2025. Recently, there have been supply - side disturbances in many varieties, and bulls are likely to push up prices. After the emotional release, the fundamental logic should be re - examined [1]. - In the medium term, the rebound of crude oil is much weaker than other risk assets, mainly due to the increasing expectation of supply surplus under the continuous acceleration of OPEC+ production increase. Short - term non - supply - demand logics are regarded as phased rises rather than reversals. Pay attention to short - selling opportunities near the previous high (WTI main contract at $64). For oil - chemical varieties, wait for the right - side short - selling opportunities after short - term breakouts [1]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Crude Oil - Technical Analysis: On the daily level, it has a medium - term downward structure, and on the hourly level, a short - term upward structure. It is testing the medium - term pressure level corresponding to $63 of WTI today. If it fails to break through the medium - term pressure, it will retest the support at 468 [2]. - Strategy: In the hourly cycle, after the previous short - position index, look for a new position - increasing and reverse - wrapping pattern, or wait for the price to break below the low on May 13 and then look for a right - side rebound short - selling opportunity. If the short - position is stopped out, wait for a new position - increasing and reverse - wrapping signal [2][3]. Styrene (EB) - Technical Analysis: On the hourly level, it has a short - term upward structure. It rose with a reduction in positions today, and the short - term trading volume is insufficient, so the upside space is limited. The short - term support is the low on May 13 [9]. - Strategy: Still on the sidelines [3][9]. PX - Technical Analysis: On the hourly level, it has a short - term upward structure. Some funds left the market with a reduction in positions at the end of the session today. The short - term support refers to the low on May 13 [10]. - Strategy: Wait for the price to break the support and then look for short - selling opportunities on rallies [3][10]. PTA - Technical Analysis: On the hourly level, it has a short - term upward structure. It rose with an increase in positions today. The short - term support refers to the low on May 13 [16]. - Strategy: Wait for the price to break the support and then look for short - selling opportunities on rallies. Currently on the sidelines [3][16]. PP - Technical Analysis: On the hourly level, it has a short - term upward structure. It rose with a reduction in positions today. The new short - term support is at 7130 [18]. - Strategy: Temporarily on the sidelines, wait for short - term breakouts [3][18]. Urea - Technical Analysis: On the hourly level, it has a short - term upward structure. It oscillated within the day today, retested the short - term support at the low on May 8, but there was no trading volume to match the pattern [19][22]. - Strategy: Temporarily on the sidelines [3][22]. Methanol - Technical Analysis: On the hourly level, it has a short - term upward structure. After rising with an increase in positions today, it showed a short - term trend reversal, and the short - term slope is too large. The support is temporarily at 2330 [23]. - Strategy: On the sidelines in the hourly cycle [3][23]. Rubber - Technical Analysis: On the daily level, it has a medium - term downward structure, and on the hourly level, a short - term oscillating structure. It rose with an increase in positions today and reached the upper edge of the oscillation range again. The upper pressure still refers to the high on April 8. It is currently in a narrow - range oscillation for oversold repair [26]. - Strategy: Temporarily on the sidelines [3][26]. Caustic Soda - Technical Analysis: On the daily level, it has a medium - term downward structure, and on the hourly level, a short - term upward structure. After oscillating within the day today, there was a large - scale reduction in positions and an upward movement at the end of the session, indicating that some short - sellers left the market [27]. - Strategy: Mainly on the sidelines [3][27]. Ethylene Glycol (EG) - Technical Analysis: On the daily level, it has a medium - term downward structure, and on the hourly level, a short - term upward structure. It rose with an increase in positions today. The short - term support is at 43150 [29]. - Strategy: On the sidelines due to the divergence between medium - and short - term trends [3][29]. Plastic - Technical Analysis: On the daily level, it has a medium - term downward structure, and on the hourly level, a short - term upward structure. It is regarded as a continued rebound today. The short - term support is at 7100 [30]. - Strategy: In the hourly cycle, on the sidelines [30]