ZHESHANG SECURITIES·2025-05-15 03:55Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [5] Core Viewpoints - In April 2025, the total sales of excavators reached 22,142 units, representing a year-on-year growth of 17.6%, with domestic sales increasing by 16.4% and export sales rising by 19.3% [2][3] - The excavator sales from January to April 2025 totaled 83,514 units, showing a year-on-year increase of 21.4%, with domestic sales up by 31.9% and export sales up by 9.0% [2] - The demand for small excavators is driven by agricultural, forestry, and municipal needs, while domestic demand for large and super-large excavators is expected to gradually increase due to water conservancy projects [3] - The recovery of the engineering machinery industry is supported by three main factors: improvement in domestic demand, increasing export market share, and the anticipated start of the domestic replacement cycle [3][4] Summary by Sections Excavator Sales - In April 2025, excavator sales showed a year-on-year growth of 18%, with domestic sales up by 16% and export sales up by 19% [2] - The sales of excavators in April 2025 were 12,547 units domestically, and 9,595 units were exported [12][13] Loader Sales - In April 2025, loader sales reached 11,653 units, with domestic sales increasing by 35.4% and export sales slightly declining by 0.2% [3] - From January to April 2025, loader sales totaled 42,220 units, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 16% [3] Market Dynamics - The report highlights the potential for the engineering machinery sector to benefit from both domestic and international markets, with expectations of continued positive growth in excavator sales in May 2025 [3] - The government plans to issue long-term special bonds and local government bonds to support infrastructure investment, which is expected to improve domestic demand for engineering machinery [4] Company Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on industry leaders such as Sany Heavy Industry, XCMG, and others, while also monitoring companies like Noli [5]